Senator Hillary Clinton’s name will be placed in nomination along with Senator Barack Obama’s at the Democratic National Convention in Denver.

Democrats will officially nominate Obama but the plan is for state delegations to do a traditional roll call for the Former First Lady.

Clinton and Obama made the joint statement yesterday, saying they want to honor the 35 million voters who took part in the Democratic Primaries.

Meanwhile: the big talk today… Federal Aviation Administration tapes released this morning reveal Obama’s plane made an emergency landing last month. At the time, authorities had said it wasn’t a major problem… according to the tapes, it was.

The pilot realizes he doesn’t have full control of the jet and, on the tapes, tells the control tower there’s a “big” problem and to prepare the crash equipment. He continues on to say, “Just for informational purposes, we have Senator Obama on board the aircraft and his campaign.”

The pilot lowers the aircraft and says, “As we’ve descended, whatever was inhibiting our ability has now been rectified.”

The plane landed in St. Louis and the pilot told passengers they were never in danger. The FAA also said no emergency had been declared. These tapes contradict those statements.

The National Transportation Board is investigating the incident.

That’s all for this week. Have a great weekend!

August 13, 2008: Of Paris Hilton, John Edwards and the Polls

So, we’ll start today with the latest numbers. The most recent poll from CNN (which combines three surveys: CBS, AP-IPSOS and Gallup) puts Senator Barack Obama at 46 percent and Senator John McCain at 41 percent. The same poll says 13 percent of voters remain unsure.

Meanwhile, former Democratic presidential candidate and former North Carolina Senator John Edwards has admitted to having an affair. The rumor started awhile back (when the National Enquirer reported the story in October). At the time, Edwards denied the allegations saying, “The story is false, it’s completely untrue, it’s ridiculous.”

Now, Edwards says he used the fact that the Enquirer story reportedly contained many false claims, to say it was untrue. However, he confirmed the rumor of an affair in an interview with ABC on Friday. He said he did have an affair with Rielle Hunter, but he denied claims that he fathered her child. He said he knows he’s not the father of her 6-month-old daughter because of the timing of the affair and the birth.

Edwards also said he told his family in 2006. In a statement last week, Edwards said he made a serious error in judgment and asked his wife for forgiveness.

Elizabeth Edwards released a statement saying, “John made a terrible mistake in 2006. The fact that it is a mistake that many other have made before him did not make it any easier for me to hear when he told me what he had done. But he did tell me. And we began a long and painful process in 2006, a process oddly made somewhat easier with my diagnosis in March of 2007.”

There’s been talk within the media of the lack of interest in the story on the part of national news organizations. The rumors had been swirling for months, but it didn’t seem that anyone jumped on the story until Edwards made the admission. There are questions of bias toward a Democratic candidate, a condescending attitude toward the tabloid (that originally printed the story), and sympathy toward Elizabeth Edwards, who’s battling an incurable form of cancer.

What are your thoughts? Do you think media organizations failed at doing their job, by not pursuing the story earlier? Do tell!

And finally, I’ll mention Paris Hilton. Presumptive Republican presidential nominee John McCain compared his opponent, presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Barack Obama to Britney Spears and Paris Hilton, calling him the “biggest celebrity” in the world, and essentially questioning his readiness to lead.

Then, Paris Hilton issued a response, mocking McCain’s ad. In the video, she said, “I want America to know that I’m, like, totally ready to lead.” She ends the message saying, “I’m Paris Hilton and I approve this message because I think it’s totally hot.”

McCain’s campaign then responded to the ad saying, “It sounds like Paris Hilton supports John McCain’s ‘all of the above’ approach to America’s energy crisis, including both alternatives and drilling. Paris Hilton might not be as big a celebrity as Barack Obama, but she obviously has a better energy plan.”

Obama’s campaign released an ad saying McCain has been “Washington’s biggest celebrity” for decades. It continues on to say, “As Washington embraced him, John McCain hugged back.”

The response to the various ads has been interesting. While many people find it all to be quite humorous, I’ve also heard talk about the avoidance of real issues. With so little time left before the election, some voters seem frustrated that the candidates aren’t talking about the real issues, and are instead focusing on the celebrity status of their opponent.

So, what are your thoughts on that issue? Do you think the Paris Hilton/Britney Spears/Barack Obama/John McCain controversy is distracting from the real issues in the campaign?

Let me know. And, til next time, take care!


July 29, 2008: McCain, the “Underdog”

Senator John McCain is campaigning in Nevada today… talking about campaign finance and his opponent.

He told the crowd, “We have to assume, despite the fluctuations of the polls up and down, that I am the underdog in this race.”

He continued on to say that Senator Barack Obama is not taking public financing to fund his campaign, even though he pledged he would AND said he would sit down with McCain before making a final decision.

“I am taking public financing according to the law,” he said. “Senator Obama will be the first presidential candidate since we passed campaign reform laws that will not be taking public financing but will be raising his own. But, the interesting thing about this is that he said he would take public financing if I would.” He continued on to say, “…he said before he makes a decision he would sit down and negotiate with Senator McCain. My friends, I am still waiting by the phone.”

Both candidates are spending a significant amount of time talking about the economy. The federal budget deficit is now projected to hit close to a half trillion dollars, and both candidates are talking about how they’d solve the country’s economic woes.

Obama’s plan so far includes: tax hikes for the wealthy and tax breaks for the middle class; another round of stimulus checks; a long-term focus on alternative renewable energy; and increased spending for health and education programs.

McCain’s plan, on the other hand, includes: extending the Bush tax cuts; balancing the budget by the end of his first term; and more tax breaks for small businesses.

Meanwhile, those poll fluctuations McCain was referring to? A new USA Today poll shows he’s moved from BEHIND by 6-points a month ago, to a 4-point LEAD now.

July 28, 2008: 99 Days to Go

It’s hard to believe, but Election Day isn’t too far off. November 4^th is just 99 days away, and that’s a fact that's keeping both presidential campaigns busy.

The McCain campaign has released a new ad targeting Obama’s decision to cancel a visit with U.S. troops in Germany. The ad says, “...he made time to go to the gym, but cancelled a visit with wounded troops. Seems the Pentagon wouldn’t allow him to bring cameras.”

The Obama responded with their own ad: “…John McCain is an honorable man who is running an increasingly dishonorable campaign.”

Obama is talking about the economy this week and McCain is focusing on Obama’s unwillingness to support the troop surge in Iraq.

The Democrats convene the last week of August in Denver, and the Republicans will gather in St. Paul the first week of September.

We still have three more presidential debates, one vice presidential debate, and undoubtedly, weeks of political ads.

So, are you looking forward to the upcoming weeks?

Drop me a line.

Take care, 
Rosemary


July 22, 2008: More on Obama’s International Tour

Senator Barack Obama is now on another leg of his trip abroad, today spending time in Jordan (where he met with King Abdullah). He will continue on to Israel, Germany, France and Britain.

Obama will also meet with both Israelis and Palestinians, saying today both countries need to be engaged in productive dialogue to end their tension. He also said it’s necessary for both to have their own independent state.

Speaking from Amman, Jordan, Obama said he understands it won’t be an easy conversation, and acknowledged it will require overcoming bitterness and animosity that have lasted for decades.

“It is my firm believe that it is in the interests of both the Israeli people and the Palestinians to arrive at a peaceful settlement,” he said. “It is a very difficult process. There is a lot of history that exists between those two people. That history is not going to vanish overnight.”

Obama also spoke about Afghanistan and Pakistan, saying U.S. attention needs to turn to those two countries.

“The situation in Afghanistan is perilous and urgent,” he said. “We must act now to reverse a deteriorating situation.”

Obama says Afghanistan is now the central front in the war against terrorism and a conversation about Afghanistan must include Pakistan, in order to eradicate terrorist strongholds in the border region.

The Senator’s comments today come one day after he spent time in Iraq, meeting with Iraqi leaders and U.S. forces. The big news out of Iraq yesterday was Obama’s conversation with Iraqi Vice President Tariq Al-Hashimi, who said, “Definitely there is a common interest for the time being that we have to schedule for the withdrawal of American troops.” An Iraqi government spokesman said if conditions allow, he hopes to see American combat forces pulled out of the country by 2010—that’s a timeline similar to the one Obama has proposed.

Senator John McCain has used Obama’s trip abroad to point out what he sees as weaknesses in his opponent. He says the trip will serve only to prove Obama was wrong about the war.

Speaking about Obama’s opposition to the so-called troop surge in Iraq, McCain said, “If we would have done what Obama wanted us to do, we would have lost, and we would have a wider war.”

But, Obama is not straying, saying, “There is security progress, but now we need a political solution.” He continued on to say, “My goal is to no longer have U.S. troops engaged in combat operations in Iraq.” That might be his goal, but he does hold he’s working with troop safety in mind. “As president,” he says, “I intend to work with our military commanders to ensure we re-deploy out of Iraq carefully.”

And, worth noting: tonight on the CBS Evening News, Katie Couric will interview Senator Obama in Amman, Jordan and Senator McCain via satellite.

I have heard back from some viewers who feel the media coverage of Campaign 2008 has been biased, specifically in coverage of Senator Obama. “Obama has been the darling of the media since his 2004 DNC keynote speech,” one writes. “I am fine with the 24 hr cable news channels being biased… the (3) majors need to be less biased because many Americans still get their news at 5 and 6pm.”

What do you think? Let me know.

Take care,
Rosemary

July 18, 2008: Obama’s Trip Abroad

Barack Obama is getting ready for a trip abroad. He’ll travel across the Middle East and Europe.

His campaign is hoping he’ll establish stronger credentials on foreign policy (thus getting him more votes back home), but analysts say any mistake will only give his rival the chance to highlight his inexperience.

Obama is making a stop in Iraq, where people are playing close attention to his proposal to bring US forces home. He’ll also travel to Israel—there, he’ll have to address concerns that he doesn’t understand the complexity of the Middle East conflict.

In Germany, Obama has requested to speak at the Brandenberg Gate. But, it's a request that's drawing criticism. The German Chancellor says that’s a site reserved for elected presidents.

Obama will be traveling with a huge entourage, and he’ll do interviews with all three network news anchors.

According to an article in the Washington Post, Katie Couric, Brian Williams and Charlie Gibson will all travel overseas next week and all three networks will originate their newscasts from stops on the trip. The Post says the Obama camp has drawn the anchors halfway around the world by offering access.

Still, it’s worth noting: McCain visited Britain, France and Israel in March (and met with their leaders) and no network news anchors went along for the ride. McCain also made a trip to Colombia and Mexico two weeks ago—it received minimal coverage.

Here’s my question: why the imbalance in coverage? You often hear claims of a liberal bias in the news: is this evidence of that? What are your thoughts? Let me know.

Take care and have a great weekend, Rosemary

July 9, 2008: Wow.

Hello! Remember me? My apologies. Let’s play a little catch up. 

Today both candidates are reacting to Iran’s test of medium and long range missiles today. Iran test fired nine missiles today, hoping to show it can retaliate against any attack by the US or Israel. The White House condemned the missile tests and both candidates for President are weighing in.

John McCain said tests show the need for a missile defense shield in Europe. Obama says they underline the need for a new policy that would force Iran into changing its ways. He says the US has not been able to do that over the last several years because, “we’re not engaged in direct diplomacy.”

Meanwhile, Obama and McCain are focusing on the economy this week. They’re both unveiling their plans for the ailing economy, and they’re also taking shots at one another.

For example:

                A recent statement from John McCain: “If you believe you should pay more taxes, I’m the wrong candidate for you. Senator Obama’s your man.”

                A recent statement from Barack Obama: “If you think the economy has done right by the American family, then you should vote for John McCain.”

The candidates have been focusing on the economy all week—this, amidst rising job losses, soaring energy costs and a housing crisis. Obama has a plan that involves tax breaks for middle-class and a new round of stimulus checks for taxpayers (although he has not fully explained how he plans to pay for it). McCain, on the other hand, promises to cut taxes for everyone and slash wasteful spending. His campaign also claims they’ll balance the budget by 2013 (although, like Obama, did not offer much in the way of specifics).

Also, Obama’s campaign has modified a request for money after a Minnesota official questioned whether it would constitute an illegal raffle. The campaign had said that any supporter who donated at least five dollars to the campaign would be entered for a chance to win a free trip for two to the Democratic National Convention in Denver. Now, they’ve modified the offer so that a campaign donation was not required to win the trip.

And finally, Obama came under heat for allowing his daughters to be interviewed extensively on the entertainment show “Access Hollywood.” Now he says he regrets that decision. “I think we got carried away in the moment,” he said. “We were having a birthday party and everybody was laughing. And suddenly this thing cropped up. I didn’t catch it quickly enough. I was surprised by the attention it received.”

The interview took place last week. Obama and his wife, Michelle, and their daughters, Malia and Sasha spoke with Maria Menounos about their family life. Asked if he would do it again, Obama said, “We wouldn’t do it again and we won’t be doing it again.” 

So, that's your summary! Take care, RS.

June 23, 2008: Catch-Up

This news out last week: Barack Obama decided to forgo public financing for his campaign. That’s a reversal of his earlier stance.

Obama had said he would accept public financing, if McCain did as well. But Obama says the system is broken… and while he’ll be passing up around $85 million, Obama has already shattered fundraising records this campaign season.

John McCain’s campaign blasted the decision. He said last week, “We will take public financing,” and as for his opponent, he said Obama, “said he would stick to his word, he didn’t.”

McCain is referencing a questionnaire Obama filled out last year where he said he would, “aggressively pursue an agreement with the Republican nominee to preserve a publicly financed general election.”

McCain said, “This election is about a lot of things. It’s also about trust… it’s about keeping your word.”

Obama released a video message last week saying, “It’s not an easy decision, and especially because I support a robust system of public financing of elections… But the public financing of presidential elections as it exists today is broken, and we face opponents who’ve become masters at gaming this broken system.”

So what is “public financing” exactly? Public financing is a system under which candidates can use United States Treasury dollars to fund their campaigns. There’s about $85 million in public money available to each major party nominee during the fall campaign. But! There’s a catch: they have to play by a complicated set of rules. And if they accept public financing, they can’t accept private donations (the party, however, still can accept donations). So, they only get the public financing if they agree to forgo other contributions.

So, it’s logical for Obama to say “no” to public financing. He’s proven himself to be a wildly successful fundraiser, who could easily raise more than the public fund supplies. Obama raked in more than $265 million as of the end of April. McCain on the other hand, had raised almost $115 million.

Still, in other fundraising news: Obama totaled $23 million in May, which was seven million dollars less than a month earlier. McCain, on the other hand, nearly matched that. He brought in about $21.5 million.

Obama definitely needs those checks to keep rolling in, having reversed his decision on public financing. He’ll get some help this week from his former opponent, Hillary Clinton. She’ll reportedly introduce Obama to her big-money backers on Thursday, and will campaign side-by-side with him (for the first time) on Friday.

So what are your thoughts on public financing? Good idea? Bad idea? Email me. 

Take care! Rosemary


June 18, 2008: Presidential Candidates on Offshore Drilling

President Bush called on Congress this morning to end a long-standing ban on letting energy companies drill for oil off of America’s coastline. It’s a sure sign of the times—the President is looking for an answer to high gas prices. He says domestic oil production is the best way to fight rising energy costs.

“In the short run, the American economy will continue to rely largely on oil,” he says. “And that means we need to increase supply, especially here at home.”

For more than a quart century, oil companies have been banned from drilling 574-million acres of coastal water, believed to hold billions of barrels of undiscovered oil. Now, the President says he wants Congress to lift the federal ban and let states help decide where drilling can happen.

Republican president candidate John McCain quickly got on board with the President, saying. “I believe it’s time for the federal government to lift these restrictions and to put our own reserves to use.”

Barack Obama was quick to respond, saying, “There is no way that allowing offshore drilling would lower gas prices right now, at best you’re looking at five years or more down the road.” 

So what are your thoughts? Let me know.


June 17, 2008: Obama, McCain Talk Economy

After spending almost a year away from Michigan, Barack Obama is reaching out to voters there, focusing on the economy. Obama is hoping to lure voters there to buy into his plans for change. But, on the other side John McCain says those plans for change will cost taxpayers lots of money.

Still, Obama knows he needs to convince voters in Michigan. That’s why he announced two major endorsements—John Edwards and Al Gore—there. And he hopes Michigan voters will believe he’s the best man for the job of fixing the economy.

But, his opponent says that message will spell disaster for hard-hit states like Michigan. He says that plan will translate into tax increases.

Thoughts? Let me know!

June 9, 2008: Clinton No Longer Running for President; Obama, McCain Focus on Economy

Senator Hillary Clinton’s campaign is officially over. She suspended her push for the White House on Saturday, urging her supporters to back Senator Barack Obama. 

The Senator gave a speech Saturday in which she began, “This isn’t exactly the party I planned, but I sure like the company.” Her supporters had filled Washington’s National Building Museum where she asked them to support Obama. “I will work my heart out to make sure Obama is our next president,” she said, “And I hope and pray that all of you will join me in that effort.”

Clinton is bowing out after 17 months on the campaign trail and many of her supporters are vowing not to support Barack Obama. After Clinton’s speech, Obama released a statement saying, “Obviously I am thrilled and honored to have Senator Clinton’s support. But more than that, I honor her today for the valiant and historic campaign she has run.”

Winning over Clinton’s supporters will be Obama’s great challenge, and having her support will certainly help.

Meanwhile, Obama and his opponent, presumptive GOP presidential nominee Senator John McCain are both gravitating toward the number one issue for voters: the economy. McCain is spending time in Richmond, Virginia today while Obama is launching a two-week “Change that Works for You” tour.” His campaign says he’ll lay out the first part of his economic vision for America with a speech in Raleigh, North Carolina.

Any thoughts? Let me know! Take care.


June 6, 2008: Private Meeting

Mum's the word today on a private meeting last night between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. The two former rivals met last night in Washington, D.C. to talk about uniting the party. They went to great lengths to keep the meeting quiet, even sending his press corps back to Chicago without him. Obama's campaign released a joint statement saying the meeting was productive and the two discussed what needs to be done to ensure a Democratic victory in November.

Hillary Clinton's campaign is maintaining she's not seeking the vice presidency, but a top supporter says she would accept if Obama extended the offer. She's formally dropping out of the race on Saturday and she'll endorse the Illinois Senator then. 

Already, both Obama and John McCain are battling over her supporters. Neither of them has campaign events planned for the weekend. They're resting up and planning ahead for the battle to the White House.


June 4, 2008: Obama Claims Victory

Barack Obama says the Democratic nomination for President is his. Now he’s urging supporters to “chart a new course for America.”

Obama made the declaration last night at the Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul. That’s the same arena where John McCain will officially accept the Republican nomination for President in September.

In his speech, Obama showered praise on Hillary Clinton. He’s trying to begin the process of mending fences, saying both the party and the country are better off because of the former First Lady’s campaign.

Clinton has not conceded the nomination. But, she's apparently open to the idea of being his running mate. Clinton indicated she might be willing to run for Vice President if it would help the party’s prospects in November—that, during a conference call with New York’s Congressional Delegation.

Obama’s campaign says there's no deal in the works to make Clinton his running mate.

For now, Clinton is spending a few days pondering her decision. She and Obama both spoke at the American Israel Public Affairs Committee this morning. And, CBS News is reporting they spoke on the phone, and agreed to meet, but set no date.

Meanwhile, voters are getting a taste of the general election today. John McCain and Barack Obama are both talking change as they head into the five-month campaign for the White House.

The AP reports McCain used the word “change” more than 30 times in a speech last night as he attempted to distance himself from President Bush.

Obama, on the other hand, used the word 19 times in his speech in St. Paul.

Also in his speech, Obama went after McCain, making sure to tie him closely with President Bush and disputing that McCain stands for any real change.

So, it seems we’re finally at the end of what was a long primary season with Clinton and Obama fighting it out (even though she hasn’t publicly conceded the race).

Now, we head into general election mode. Some Democratic leaders who had previously supported Clinton are moving to Obama’s side, saying it's time to unite the party (Example: former Vice President Walter Mondale, who had been a Clinton backer, is now supporting Obama).

Still, both Obama and McCain will have a lot to overcome before America votes in November. 

Exit polls suggest neither candidate gets the primary votes of people most worried about the economy.

McCain hasn’t caught on with the most conservative voters, including those who strongly oppose abortion, born-again Evangelical Christians, or those who favor steps against illegal immigrants. Obama meanwhile has done poorly with working-class white voters, Hispanics and white Democratic women (he must especially win over this last group, which has remained fiercely loyal to Clinton).

One in seven white voters of the Democratic Party said race was important in choosing their candidate, and within that group, two-thirds voted for Clinton. Also: almost six out of ten said they’d rather vote for McCain in November, or stay home, than support Obama.

It’s all very complicated… and while the primary season may finally be over, it seems the fighting has just begun, with John McCain and Barack Obama poised to attack heading into the general election.

Thoughts? Please let me know. Take care! Rosemary

June 3, 2008: Democratic Primary Season Ends

The Democratic primary season ends today with voters going to the polls in Montana and South Dakota.

There’s been lots of talk today that Hillary Clinton will concede the nomination to Barack Obama but CBS News is reporting her campaign says those reports are wrong. Clinton’s advisers say she will not formally end her run for the White House tonight.

That would be a strategic move, one that gives her leverage to negotiate with Obama on several matters, including a possible spot on the ticket as Vice President.

Meanwhile, the Associated Press reports campaign officials say Clinton will acknowledge tonight Obama has enough delegates to secure the nomination, effectively ending her bid to be the nation’s first female president. Still, the AP is also reporting Clinton will stop short of formally suspending her race.

Clinton will speak tonight to a crowd of supporters in New York City. That’s when we’ll find out if she’s ready to effectively end her bid for the White House.

Over 100 undecided superdelegates from around the country are waiting for results today; they’ve been holding their endorsements until the end of the season. Today and tomorrow, a large number of delegates are expected to endorse Obama.

Obama will speak at the Xcel Energy Center in St. Paul tonight. He’s expected to essentially kick of his campaign there. St. Paul Mayor Chris Coleman says he’ll likely endorse Senator Obama tonight after the votes are counted in Montana and South Dakota. He’d previously supported Clinton. Other former Clinton supporters, like State Senator Alice Hausman say it’ll be hard to let go. 

So to sum: hopefully there will be more answers tomorrow. I'll let you know! Stay tuned. 

NEW! Now the AP is reporting Obama effectively clinched the nomination based on an AP tally of convention delegates.


June 2, 2008: Delegate Ruling

The Democratic Party Rules Committee has ruled delegates from Michigan and Florida will take their seats at the Democratic National Convention in August. But! Every delegate will only get one half of a vote.
The Florida decision was first up. The vote to restore all of the delegates (in WHOLE) failed. But, the vote to give them a partial vote passed unanimously.

Michigan went this way: 69 delegates for Clinton, 59 for Barack Obama. The Clinton camp is upset. Obama wasn’t even on the Michigan ballot, and now the Clinton campaign may appeal the matter to the Democrats’ credentials committee. That could mean the matter makes it all the way to the convention in August. 

The decision increases the number of delegates needed to clinch the nomination. Now, there are only 66 delegates and 3 primaries to go, and many are saying Obama is within striking distance. 

May 30, 2008: Another Preacher Controversy

Another preacher is making headlines today after mocking Senator Hillary Clinton at the church formerly pastored by Reverend Jeremiah Wright.

Reverend Michael Pfleger, a Chicago activist and Barack Obama supporter, was mocking Clinton for her emotional display before the New Hampshire primary. The Reverend, speaking in front of the Trinity United Church congregation, said, “I am white! I am entitled! There is a black man stealing my show.”

Obama responded with a statement saying, “I am deeply disappointed in Father Pfleger’s divisive, backward-looking rhetoric, which doesn’t reflect the country I see or the desire of people across America to come together in a common cause.”

This most recent controversy won’t likely affect Obama’s path to the Democratic presidential nomination. Clinton is asking the Democratic party to count the delegates she won in Florida and Michigan (tomorrow, party leaders will decide what to do with those disputed delegates). Busloads of her supporters are expected to show up at the hotel where leaders will make their ruling.

Clinton is campaigning in Puerto Rico today. Meanwhile, Obama is campaigning in Montana. Those are two of the three remaining primaries, but even if Clinton wins all three, she’s not likely to move to the top of the ticket.

Any thoughts? Let me know. Have a great weekend!

May 21, 2008: Split Decision

As expected, Senator Barack Obama saw a huge win in Oregon, while Senator Hillary Clinton saw a landslide victory in Kentucky.
But, Obama is essentially on the verge of clinching the nomination. He now has the majority of pledged delegates and he’s looking beyond the three remaining contests to the national election.

At a rally in Des Moines, Iowa, where he won his first contest on his run for the White House, Obama said, “While our primary has been long and hard-fought, the hardest and most important part of our journey still lies ahead.”

Clinton, however, isn’t ready to give up, telling a group of supporters last night, “I am going to continue making my case until we have a nominee, whoever she may be.”

Now the candidates are focusing on Florida (the next contest isn’t until early June). Obama needs to win over voters there (he didn’t spend much time there before the state’s disputed primary), while Clinton needs the primary to count. She won Florida and Michigan, but the results were tossed out because the states broke party rules by moving up there contests.

If Democrats choose to count those votes, it would give her a boost in the popular vote.

Thoughts? Talk to you soon!

May 20, 2008: Kentucky, Oregon Head to the Polls

Voters in Kentucky and Oregon get their turn to weigh in on the race for the White House today.

Experts are expecting a split decision: Kentucky for Hillary Clinton and Oregon for Barack Obama.

Voter turnout has been steady in Kentucky, and counting is underway in Oregon. Residents in Oregon can cast ballots by mail, or drop them off at various locations.

Many believe Obama will reach a milestone today—a majority of the delegates. But Clinton is still vowing to stay in the race, saying, “It may surprise you to learn that I have more votes than my opponent.” She’s counting totals in Michigan and Florida, but those votes haven’t been counted by the national party because both states broke party rules by holding their primaries early.

Obama seems to have moved on, focusing on the national election. Word has it he’s sworn a group of his senior staff to absolute silence as they get ready to pick his running mate.

He’s holding a rally in Des Moines tonight—the site of his first win in the race for the nomination.

More tomorrow with results. Talk to you soon!

May 19, 2008: Edited to Add

Wanted to mention: the Star Tribune released the results of their Campaign 2008 poll, which found that among Minnesota voters, both Democrats in the race have leads over GOP candidate John McCain. 

Barack Obama leads the Arizona senator 51 to 38 percent. And Hillary Clinton leads McCain 49 to 40 percent.


May 19, 2008: Last Day of Campaigning Ahead of Kentucky, Oregon

Hillary Clinton is way ahead in Kentucky polls—much like West Virginia where Clinton won by a landslide, Kentucky is overwhelmingly white, rural and working class.

Obama is expected to win Oregon—and if that happens, he’ll likely be less than 100 delegates away from the 2026 needed for the nomination.

Meanwhile, Obama has moved on to Montana, a state that votes next month. There, he’s taking swipes at John McCain, saying, “You know John McCain now has had to get rid of five top advisors because it turns out they’re all lobbying, many of them for foreign governments.”

That’s a comment based on the fact that one of McCain’s top fundraisers stepped down over the weekend after disclosing ties to lobbyists.

But, while McCain and Obama have been acting like this is a two-person race, Clinton says she’ll keep fighting until the delegates add up to a winner.

May 16, 2008: Edwards Says ‘No’ to Running with Obama, Obama Blasts McCain

Despite recently endorsing Barack Obama for president, and despite talk that he’s setting up to be Obama’s running mate, John Edwards is saying today he won’t run with Obama.

Edwards said on the Today Show today, “No. Won’t happen. It’s just not something I’m interested in.”

Asked about the possibility of a position as Attorney General in an Obama administration, Edwards said, “I don’t really want to get involved in that speculation. Right now we have to focus on getting Barack Obama elected to President of the United States, then we’ll worry about those things.”

Edwards officially endorsed Obama Wednesday night.

Meanwhile, Obama is speaking out against President Bush for his remarks in Israel, in which he suggested Democrats want to appease terrorists. Obama said, “After almost eight years, I did not think I could be surprised by anything that George Bush says, but I was wrong… The president did something that presidents don’t do. That is launch a political attack targeted toward the domestic market in front of a foreign delegation.”

Obama is also taking shots at John McCain, the presumptive GOP nominee, for embracing the president’s comments. 

Obama’s rival Hillary Clinton also condemned the president’s comments.

May 15, 2008: Edwards Endorses Obama

At a critical time in Campaign 2008, former Democratic presidential nominee John Edwards has thrown his weight behind Barack Obama. It’s the endorsement Obama had been waiting for… and one he worked hard to get.

The Obama campaign hopes Edwards’ support will help bring in support from blue collar and low-income voters—that’s a group Obama has had a hard time connecting with, and one Hillary Clinton has been successful in courting.

Edwards said today, “The democratic voters have made their choice, and so have I.”

The announcement takes away some of the attention away from Clinton’s recent landslide victory in West Virginia… and re-focuses attention on Obama’s campaign.

Obama has turned his attention toward the national stage, today criticizing President Bush, and recently directing attacks toward John McCain.

The next state to vote is Kentucky. They vote Tuesday. Clinton is heavily favored to win there.  

May 14, 2008: Big Win for Clinton

It was a big win for Hillary Clinton in West Virginia. Now, she’s urging Democratic leaders to think again about their support for Barack Obama, but she still has an uphill battle to the nomination.

The landslide victory couldn’t change the math: she’s behind in delegates, in superdelegates, and her campaign is over 20 million dollars in debt. But, Clinton is pledging not to give up, saying, “I am more determined than ever to carry on this campaign until everyone has had a chance to make their voices heard.”

Today she met with donors at her home in Washington, D.C., where she is taking a look at whether she’ll stay in the race.

Barack Obama, meanwhile, is focusing on the general election, campaigning in battleground states and trying to bridge the divide that’s growing among Democrats. That, too, will be an uphill battle. In West Virginia, three out of four Clinton supports said they would be dissatisfied if Obama is the nominee.

Thoughts?

‘Til next time.

May 13, 2008: West Virginia Votes

Hillary Clinton is expected to win big today in the West Virginia primary. Despite the expected win, many are saying her campaign may soon be over. She’s behind in the popular vote, the delegate count and now she’s trailing in the superdelegate count. (Over 20 superdelegates have moved to Obama’s side in the last week).

Dee Dee Myers, former Press Secretary to Bill Clinton said today, “I don’t think there’s any question that she’s going to get out. The only question remaining is when and how. And I think she’ll do it in a way that’s classy and helps the party.”

Barack Obama’s campaign has now moved away from attacking Clinton; Obama has been campaigning in states that will play a critical role in the fall, and has begun targeting John McCain, the presumptive Republican nominee.

After the vote this evening, Clinton will meet with her top advisors and fundraisers, to determine her next steps. Right now, her campaign is 20 million dollars in debt… but she’s still running television ads in the next two states to hold primaries. 

Thoughts? Email me. 

Talk to you soon.

May 7, 2008: Clinton Staying in the Race

Barack Obama is speaking like a candidate who has locked up his party’s nomination.

Taking center stage last night, the Illinois Senator said, “This fall, we intend to march forward as one Democratic Party… united by a common vision for this country.”

Obama made big gains last night, beating Hillary Clinton by 14 percent in North Carolina (with 99 percent of precincts reporting).

Clinton narrowly defeated Obama in Indiana, 51 to 49 percent (with 99 percent of precincts reporting).

His gains are prompting one of Clinton’s most prominent backers to switch his support to Obama. Former Senator and Democratic presidential nominee George McGovern said today he’s switching his support AND urging Clinton to drop out of the race.

In an interview with CNN, McGovern said, “It certainly was not out of any less respect for Senator Clinton… I think she has waged a really courageous and valiant campaign. She will have my affection and admiration for all of my days.” 

Still, even despite a disappointing day and dwindling funds, Clinton says she’s staying in the race until there’s a nominee. At a press conference in West Virginia today, she said, “I will work to be the nominee and I believe I am the stronger candidate against Senator John McCain.”

Clinton is hoping the Democratic Bylaws and Rules Committee will rule to include delegates from Florida and Michigan (both states she won, and states who had their delegates stripped because they broke party rules). Asked today whether she’d abide by the Committee’s ruling, Clinton said she would consider going to the Credentials Committee if the Bylaws and Rules Committee did not go her way.

Clinton loaned six and a half million dollars to her campaign in the last month alone. Today she called that loan a “commitment to her campaign.”

She did, however, have a warning for Democratic voters who vowed to vote for John McCain if she was not the nominee, that the Republican Senator would roll back the Supreme Court decision of Roe Vs. Wade.  

There are six Democratic contests left, and a relatively small number of delegates still in play.

Today, Minnesota Senator Amy Klobuchar called on all superdelegates to make known which candidate they support… in an effort to speed the process along.

Thoughts?

Let me know.

May 6, 2008: Obama Hopes for Nomination, Clinton Hopes to Stay Alive

We’ve reached the two biggest remaining contests of the presidential primaries (there are more delegates up for grab tonight than in any of the remaining contests): North Carolina and Indiana.

Voters are cramming into polls in both states. In North Carolina, there are already signs of record voter turnout. And, almost a half million people voted early and cast absentee ballots.

If Barack Obama wins both contests, Hillary Clinton could be forced to drop out of the race (although she has said she won’t drop out, no matter the outcome).

However, that might not even be a question. Polls put Clinton ahead in Indiana, and she’s made gains in North Carolina.

After today, there are six contests left… but voters are saying it’s time for the bickering to end, time for someone to drop out.

Still, political analysts say, it’s too little, too late. The damage is done and whoever wins the nomination will have to do some serious fighting to re-unite the party.

What do you think of all the bickering? Time for someone to drop out? Who should it be?

Results tomorrow! Talk to you then.

April 30, 2008: Obama on Pastor

I ran a story on News 12 Midday on Barack Obama and his comments distancing himself from his former Pastor. 

You can catch that story here. 

What do you think? Too little, too late?


April 29, 2008: Edited to Add: Obama Speaks On Pastor

Barack Obama is speaking out about his former minister, Reverend Jeremiah Wright, saying he’s “outraged” by the Reverend’s comments at the National Press Club Monday, and saying the man he "saw yesterday is not the person I met 20 years ago.”

Obama had not spoken after Reverend Wright’s speech at the Press Club yesterday; instead, his campaign released a statement saying he had already addressed the issue.

Still, critics have been waiting for Obama to signal a complete break with his former Minister. This is as close as he’s come, saying, “What particularly angered me was his suggestion somehow that my previous denunciation of his remarks were somehow political posturing.”  

April 29, 2008: Endorsement for Hillary Clinton

Hillary Clinton got a big endorsement this morning.

North Carolina Governor Mike Easley has endorsed Clinton for president.

The two-term Democrat said this morning: Clinton “gets it.”

He continued on to say, “It’s time for somebody to be in the White House who understands the challenges we face in this country.”

It’s notable because the endorsement comes just one week before the state’s May 6th primary. And it’s important because she’s trailing her opponent, Barack Obama, in most of the state’s polls.

The Governor is the second of the state’s superdelegates to support Clinton. Obama has the support of six of the state’s superdelegates.

April 28, 2008: Obama’s Former Pastor Still Speaking Out

Barack Obama’s former pastor, Reverend Jeremiah Wright, is continuing to speak out. He’s at the Press Club in Washington, D.C. today. Last night, he spoke at an NAACP event saying, “I am not one of the most divisive… the word is descriptive.” 

He also said, "I am not a politician. I know that fact will surprise many of you because many in the corporate-owned media have made it seem as if I had announced that I'm running for the Oval Office. I am not running for the Oval Office. I've been running for Jesus a long, long time and I'm not tired yet."

Speaking today, Reverend Wright said, “Maybe now as an honest dialogue about race in this country begins, a dialogue called for by Senator Obama, and which will begin in the United Church of Christ among 5700 congregations.”

Obama’s campaign says he won’t comment on Wright today, because he’s already spoken on the matter.

Presumped GOP nominee John McCain spoke out against Wright saying, some of the Minister’s policies are “beyond belief.”

In other news: the chair of the Democratic National Party says Democrats need to achieve unity and he’s calling on one of the candidates, either Obama or Hillary Clinton, to drop out of the race by June.

Thoughts?

Email me. 

Talk to you soon, 
Rosemary

April 24, 2008: Big Win for Hillary Clinton, but is it Enough?

I was on vacation for the Pennsylvania primary, so I’m getting to this late. BUT! A big win for Hillary Clinton.

Clinton is claiming the most delegates from the win—the Associated Press says she won at least 82 of the 158 delegates. Barack Obama won at least 73.

Obama still leads over all with 1,719.5 delegates, Clinton has 1,591.5, which is why many are saying it may now be up to the super delegates to decide the winner.

Both candidates are saying they’re ahead in the popular vote. Clinton is saying she now has more votes than anyone who’s ever run for president in a Democratic primary, but Obama’s campaign manager says Obama has a comfortable lead in the popular vote.

The reason for the disparity: how many votes are counted. Clinton is including Michigan and Florida, both of which she won. But, those states held their votes too early for party rules, so they may not count.

Still, even counting Michigan and Florida, Clinton’s lead may not last long. North Carolina votes on May 6^th, and Obama is favored to win.

Already, almost 75,000 people have cast their ballots for that primary election. The early votes have been cast under new rules that allow previously unregistered voters to sign up and vote on the same day until May 3^rd.

Voter registration in the state is up, and the largest increase in voters is among blacks, who make up 20 percent of the state’s registered voters.

North Carolina has 115 delegates up for grabs.

Clinton is actually getting some help from the GOP in the state—a TV ad featuring the controversial comments from Obama’s former pastor is expected to hit the airwaves next week, despite the fact that John McCain has asked state officials to pull the ad.

Meanwhile, former presidential candidate John Edwards may play a big role in the upcoming primary. The former North Carolina Senator has yet to endorse either candidate.

It’s an uphill battle, to say the least, for Hillary Clinton, who faces a serious mathematical challenge to collect enough delegates to clinch the nomination.

So, what do you think about all of this? Is it time for Clinton to drop out? Or do you think she can pull off what some are calling the impossible?

Email me!

Until next time, Rosemary


April 15, 2008: Barack Obama and Damage Control

Well, recently I wrote an entry about Senator Hillary Clinton doing some back pedaling, now it seems, Senator Barack Obama is doing some of his own.

Obama recently made a comment saying of people frustrated with their economic situation, “it’s not surprising they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren’t like them… as a way to explain their frustrations.”

Here’s the full comment, from a speech at a fundraiser in San Francisco:

    “You go into some of these small towns in Pennsylvania, and like a lot of small towns in the Midwest, the jobs have been gone now for 25 years and nothing’s replaced them. And they fell through the Clinton administration, and the Bush administration, and each successive administration has said that somehow these communities are gonna regenerate and they have not. So it’s not surprising then that they get bitter, they cling to guns or religion or antipathy to people who aren’t like them or anti-immigrant sentiment or anti-trade sentiment as a way to explain their frustrations.”

Clinton was immediately on the attack, calling Obama “elitist” and “out of touch” and saying his remarks were “offensive.”

John McCain was also quick to criticize Obama saying, “I think those comments are elitist.”

Obama responded to the criticism in a speech in Washington saying, “Contrary to what my poor word choices may have implied, or my opponents have suggested, I’ve never believed that these traditions or people’s faith has anything to do with how much money they have.” 

He also said at a dinner in Philadelphia, “it’s not me who’s out of touch… I know exactly what folks are going through.”

Some pundits are saying this blunder gives Clinton a better chance at taking back a lead in the national polls, and securing the nomination. I’m not so sure what it means… except that all three leading candidates are now engaged in a war of words.

What do you think? Let me know. RS.


April 9, 2008: General Petraeus Faces Questions… From His Future Boss

General David Petraeus, the top US Commander in Iraq, and Ryan Crocker, the US Ambassador to Iraq, are on Capitol Hill answering to Congress on security progress in Iraq.

Petraeus is saying the US military needs more time, but critics say, it’s time for the Iraqi government to take control.

Petraeus and Crocker told lawmakers last year’s surge strategy helped calm some of the daily attacks across Iraq, but according to Petraeus, the large number of US forces is necessary to keep those gains.

All three presidential candidates got their chance to address Petraeus. Senator John McCain yesterday said, “Our goal, my goal, is in Iraq that no longer needs American troops, and we can achieve that sooner than many imagine. But I also believe that to promise a withdrawal of our forces, regardless of the consequences, would constitute a failure of political and moral leadership.”

In this way, McCain—who is, by the way, a strong supporter of the war and the presumptive GOP nominee—distanced himself a bit from the Bush administration’s Iraq strategy *before* the troop surge, but simultaneously backed the surge.

Both sides of the aisle yesterday asked Petraeus about candidates’ plans for the draw down of troops, but Petraeus did not comment on any specific proposals. He did say, however, that he opposes any plan that doesn’t center on the ground conditions in Iraq.

Senator Hillary Clinton took her turn questioning Petraeus, responding to McCain’s refusal to form any timetable saying, “It might well be irresponsible to continue the policy that has not produced the results that have been promised time and time again.” She continued on to say, “A year from now, if I’m the president, we’re going to begin ending American military involvement in Iraq. I think that’s the right decision for America, for our military and for the Iraqis who have to come to grips with the fact that it’s up to them to decide how to use the freedom that they’ve been given.”

And, Senator Barack Obama said in a hearing, “I believe that we are more likely to resolve it if we are applying increased pressure in a measured way… increased pressure… includes a timetable for withdrawal.” He called the invasion in Iraq a “massive strategic blunder,” and said a diplomatic surge must include Iran.

So, thoughts? As always, I’d love to hear. What do you think of a timetable for withdrawal? What about Petraeus’ assertion that we need more time. Email me.

Take care, RS.

April 7, 2008: Hillary Clinton Backpedaling… Again

So, first there was the Bosnia “misstatement.”

Hillary Clinton had described a visit to Tuzla, Bosnia in 1996 in which she and her daughter, Chelsea, had to run for cover as soon as they landed.

In a speech in Washington on March 17, she said. “I remember landing under sniper fire. There was supposed to be some kind of a greeting ceremony at the airport, but instead we just ran with our heads down to get into the vehicles to get to our base.”

But! CBS footage of the day showed a peaceful reception in which a young girl greeted the then first lady on the tarmac.

So, Clinton backpedaled, saying she misspoke and was sleep deprived. “So I made a mistake,” she said. “That happens. It proves I’m human, which you know, for some people, is a revelation.”

Now, the Clinton campaign is on the defensive again, this time over her remarks stemming from her thoughts on the nation’s health care system.

In the past weeks, Clinton had featured a story in her speeches about an uninsured pregnant woman who lost her baby, then died, after being denied care by an Ohio hospital because she couldn’t come up with a fee.

Now, the hospital is saying the woman was never refused treatment and she was insured.

The woman did die last August, they say, two weeks after her baby boy was stillborn at O’Bleness Memorial Hospital in Ohio. But, she was under the care of an obstetrics practice affiliated with the hospital.

The hospital spokeswoman said the Clinton campaign had never contacted the hospital to check whether the story was accurate.

I mention it because of this: it seems to me, there are enough people working on the Clinton campaign, they ought to be able to do some fact checking.

Here’s a rule we have in the field of journalism. It’s an old cliché: If your mom tells you she loves you, ask two more people to confirm.

Clinton heard the story from a county sheriff’s deputy, who heard the story secondhand. He says, as he understood it, the woman had died from a stillbirth after being turned away by a local hospital for her failure to pay a $100 fee. The deputy told the Senator the story, and Clinton used it in speeches as an example of the broken health care system.

In our field, we often hear tidbits of information like this. There are always stories to be told, things that people hear, and then repeat, and we get word of it, somewhere down the road. But, when we get those little pieces of information, we check. We confirm. Over and over again. We go straight to the source, until we’re sure we’re getting it right.

A Clinton spokesman said candidates often re-tell stories relayed to them, checking them when possible. “In this case, we did try but were not able to full vet it… if this hospital claims it did not happen that way, we respect that.”

What do you think about all of this? Let me know. 

'Til next time, I'm at the polls. RS.

April 1, 2008: Update

I spent last week working on a story about the 10th anniversary of the series of tornados that swept through our area. It was part of a series we did. Mitch Keegan focused on the St. Peter community; Max Jensen focused on Comfrey, and I focused specifically on Gustavus Adolphus College (my alma mater). That's what kept me away last week... so once again, I'm playing catch-up. 

Let’s see. Democratic presidential candidates Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton are campaigning in Pennsylvania today.

The state heads to the primary on April 22^nd—it’s a big state for both of the candidates.

Clinton is accusing Obama and his supporters of trying to stop people from voting. That’s because some of his supporters are calling for her to drop out of the race.

The former first lady says her campaign will continue.

An Obama spokesman said the claim was “completely laughable.”

Here’s what I’m wondering: some pundits are saying this kind of bickering—between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton—is bad for the party and leads to divisiveness. But, it appears neither of them is ready, or willing to back out. And perhaps? Neither of them should have to. What do you think? Let me know.

Meanwhile, presumptive GOP nominee John McCain is holding a town hall meeting today in Virginia.

So, what do you think about all of this?? Email me! 

Until next time, at the polls, Rosemary


March 20, 2008: Catch-Up

It’s been a week since my last entry—my apologies—and a lot has happened.

So, let’s get right to it.

First: Barack Obama delivered a speech on Tuesday that has everyone talking. The Senator spoke at the National Constitution Center in Philadelphia, and denounced the “incendiary statements” of Reverend Jeremiah Wright, his pastor.

Obama said the comments offended both black and white people, saying, “We've heard my former pastor, Reverend Jeremiah Wright, use incendiary language to express views that have the potential not only to widen the racial divide, but views that denigrate both the greatness and the goodness of our nation; that rightly offend white and black alike. I have already condemned, in unequivocal terms, the statements of Reverend Wright that have caused such controversy and in some cases - pain.”

He continued on to say, “I can no more disown him than I can disown the black community. I can no more disown him than I can my white grandmother a woman who helped raise me, a woman who sacrificed again and again for me, a woman who loves me as much as she loves anything in this world, but a woman who once confessed her fear of black men who passed by her on the street, and who on more than one occasion has uttered racial or ethnic stereotypes that made me cringe. But the anger is real; it is powerful; and to simply wish it away, to condemn it without understanding its roots, only serves to widen the chasm of misunderstanding that exists between the races.”

Obama’s pastor claimed the United States brought the September 11^th attacks on itself, and said, “Barack knows what it means to be a black man living in a country and a culture that is controlled by rich white people.”

He also said, “Not God Bless America. God d*** America.”

With his speech, many pundits are saying Obama effectively distanced himself from the comments made by the Pastor, but did not turn his back on him completely.

Up next: Republican Presidential candidate—and presumptive nominee—traveled overseas to Iraq and met with Iraqi Prime Minister Nouri al Maliki. The US Senator stressed the importance of a US commitment to the country, saying, “We find a continued success of the strategy, the continued training of the Iraqi military and find them functioning more effectively. We also recognize that while al Qaida is on the run, they are not defeated.” It was John McCain’s eighth trip to the country.

And finally: the Democratic party in Florida has decided against holding a new primary, saying voters there don’t want another poll. The primary there was ruled invalid by the national party because it was held too early.

Hillary Clinton won both Florida and Michigan (the other state that had their delegates declared void), and is pushing for the delegates to be accepted. Right now it looks like the decision on whether either state’s delegates can vote at the convention looks set to be decided next month.

Right now the delegate count has Obama ahead. Unless Hillary Clinton wins landslide victories in the remaining contests, she can’t catch up. But, even if Obama won landslides, he’ll still fall short of the 2,025 delegates needed to get the nomination.

That’s all I have for now. Questions? Comments? Email me.

Until next time, at the polls, Rosemary

March 13, 2008: Results and a Governor

Barack Obama has grabbed another win. As expected, he won the Mississippi primary, but as far as delegates go, it wasn’t a HUGE victory. He picked up 17 delegates to Hillary Clinton’s 14.

Exit polls showed Barack Obama scored 90 percent of black voters, and one third of white voters.

There’s been some controversy on the campaign trail today as former vice-presidential nominee Geraldine Ferraro suggested Obama’s success is due in large part to the color of his skin.

On the John Gibson Radio Show on Fox Talk, Ferraro says, “If Barack Obama were a white man, would we be talking about this as a potential real problem for Hillary? If he were a woman of any color, would he be in this position? Absolutely not.”

Clinton said she “obviously” disagrees and rejects the comments. And Obama says it’s another example of what the campaign needs to get away from: “To the extent that Senator Clinton’s campaign doesn’t distance itself from that, I think it is a continuation of the same divisive politics that has done us so much damage.”

Ferraro says she stands by the comments, but says she’s sorry if anyone thinks they’re racist.

Aside from the campaign trail: there’s all the controversy of New York Governor Eliot Spitzer, who, today, announced he’s resigning.

The transfer of power will take effect Monday; Lieutenant Governor David Peterson will take over.

Any thoughts? Let me know. -Rosemary


March 11, 2008: Mississippi Votes

Mississippi voters head to the polls today. There are 33 delegates at stake there—and Barack Obama is expected to win. In fact, Hillary Clinton’s campaign said she has little chance there.

She’s focused on Pennsylvania and started campaign there yesterday.

More tomorrow with results! -Rosemary


March 10, 2008: The Story of Florida and Michigan

The Democrats running for President know, every delegate counts. Barack Obama is leading in the count; this weekend he won the Wyoming Primary, and he’s hoping for a win tomorrow in Mississippi. (Pundits are saying his chances there are good with the state’s large number of African American voters).

Hillary Clinton, on the other hand, is, as she usually does, focusing on the large contest ahead: Pennsylvania. Her husband, former President Bill Clinton is campaigning in Mississippi.

There are 33 delegates up for grabs in the southern state, and no matter what the outcome, both candidates will receive SOME delegates (the delegates there are awarded proportionally).

MEANWHILE, Democrats are now raising money for a do-over in Florida and Michigan. Here’s what happened. The two states held primaries, but no delegates were at stake. That was a punishment from the national party, because they moved their elections up.

Now, however, Democrats in both states may be able to vote at the post office. Governor Howard Dean, the Chair of the National Party says, “Every voter gets a ballot in the mail. It’s comprehensive. You get to vote if you’re in Iraq or a nursing home. It’s not a bad way to do this.”

It would essentially be a mail-in primary. But, the thing is: it costs around 6 million dollars, and no one knows WHO’s going to pay for it.

For example, Michigan Governor Jennifer Granholm says, “The one thing I do not want to see in Michigan is any taxpayer-funded re-do.” The states don’t have the money to pay for it, and the national party says it’s saving its money for November.

So, while everyone wants a way out of the mess, no one wants to pay for it.

Here are my questions—and I’d LOVE to know what you think—WHY have the punishment, if you’re just going to revoke it? What does it mean for the party if states are simply ALLOWED to move their primary dates up? What does it mean for the election process? And really—we’re talking about some seriously wasted money and time here… to have held the primaries in both states, NOT have them count because of party “punishments,” and then to have to DO IT AGAIN. If you were going to change your mind, why have the punishment in the first place? And what are the implications for 2012, for example?

Annnnd, one more thing to note: both Clinton and Obama are watching the Super Delegates closely… over 300 have not endorsed either candidate.

What do you think about all of this? Email me.

Talk to you soon! Rosemary


March 5, 2008: It Ain’t Over, ‘Til It’s Over...

...And it’s over for Mike Huckabee. After John McCain swept yesterday’s contests in Texas, Ohio, Vermont and Rhode Island, Huckabee has announced he’s giving up his bid for the White House.

The former Arkansas Governor urged his supporters to back McCain, and added, he has no “Plan B” for his political career.

John McCain meanwhile has clinched enough delegates to win the Republican nomination. The Arizona Senator has 1,224 delegates. He needed 1,191 to sew up the nomination.

McCain also picked up a major endorsement today: President Bush, who was once his chief rival on the campaign trail.

AND, on the other side: a HUGE night for Hillary Clinton. Many experts were calling this a win-or-go-home night for her… and she won. So. She’s not headed home just yet. Clinton grabbed victories in Ohio, Texas and Rhode Island. Those wins allowed her to put a dent in Barack Obama’s delegate lead (although he still leads).

The trio of victories follows 12 straight defeats to Obama—so, even if the wins haven’t put her in the delegate count lead, they certainly help with momentum.

At a rally in Ohio last night, Clinton said, “This nation’s coming back, and so is this campaign.” She also referenced Ohio’s history of siding with the eventual presidential election winner, saying, “You know what they say, ‘as Ohio goes, so goes the nation.’”

Obama picked up a win in Vermont. He says even if his rival had a good night, he’s on his way to winning the nomination. She broke his winning streak, but he still leads in the count of delegates who will decide the nomination.

In Texas yesterday, Obama said, “We can stand up with confidence and clarity…we are on our way to winning this nomination.”

OH! AND! Hillary Clinton this morning hinted at the possibility of the Democratic “DREAM TICKET,” saying, “That may be where this is headed…but of course, we have to decide who’s on the top of the ticket.”

Thoughts? Let me know. Talk to you soon. –rs.

March 4, 2008: Heading to the Polls

Voters are headed to the polls in Rhode Island, Vermont, Ohio and Texas today.

There are 36 delegates up for grabs for Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama in Rhode Island and Vermont, and 334 delegates for the taking in Ohio and Texas.

Clinton has hinted she’ll stay in the race, even without wins, but many are saying Ohio and Texas are do-or-die.

On the other side, things are definitely more settled. John McCain is sitting comfortably as the presumed choice for the Republican nomination.

Tomorrow—results. And what it all means for the Clinton campaign.

-RS.

March 3, 2008: Make or Break Time

So, tomorrow will really be the story of Hillary Clinton. Many people are saying it could be a win, or go home day for her… with primaries in Texas, Ohio, Rhode Island and Vermont.

A Barack Obama sweep will be disastrous for her—and Texas and Ohio are the two most important contests. She’d be banking on both of those delegate-rich states. And, now, it’s looking like she really needs to win one, or both, or. All four.

She’s been sticking with her message in the last weeks, saying she’s substance while he’s style. She’s got solutions, he gives speeches.

Governor Bill Richardson—a former Democratic candidate—said on Face the Nation yesterday, “We have to have a positive campaign after Tuesday. Whoever has the most delegates after Tuesday, a clear lead, should be, in my judgment, the nominee.”

More, when we have results. Til then! Rosemary

February 29, 2008: A Wrap-Up

First up: my apologies. My attention the last nine days turned to a different story I was working on—NOT politics related (gasp!)—but I’m back.

There’s a lot to get to, so, I think today I’ll do a bullet point rundown.

--Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama. They’re both rallying in Texas today; it’s the final weekend of campaigning before primaries in Texas and Ohio. 

Clinton seemed to have been banking on both states to make up for the fact that she lost some smaller, but still important states in the Obama sweep of the last few weeks. And, at one point, she had a significant lead in Texas. But, recent polls show the two candidates in a dead heat there, while she does have a slight lead in Ohio.

The debates, of late, have been interesting. They’re both trying to differentiate themselves. But, they have fairly similar policies, with some obvious differences. They talk the most about health care. Obama wants no universal coverage mandate for adults, but one for children. Clinton, on the other hand, wants $110 billion/year mandatory universal coverage in her first term.

--John McCain, the GOP frontrunner and his long shot challenger Mike Huckabee are campaigning in Texas as well. John McCain doesn’t seem to be seeing a whole lot of fall out after the lobbyist scandal. Last week, the New York Times printed an article which alleged McCain had a “too-close” relationship with a female lobbyist. But! It doesn’t seem to be having a negative effect. According to a recent Fox News survey, fewer than one-quarter of the people participating have a favorable opinion of the New York Times, and almost two-thirds think the paper deliberately set out to smear McCain. 

--New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg put an end to speculation he would launch an independent presidential campaign, penning an op-ed piece in the New York Times yesterday. He said he will NOT run this year, but said he might throw money and support toward one of the campaigns.

--And finally, here in Minnesota: Barack Obama has picked up two more super delegate votes. Minnesota Democratic Party Chairman Brian Melendez and the party’s second in command, Donna Cassutt, say they’re backing the Illinois Senator for President. Melendez said Obama’s decisive win in Minnesota’s February caucuses was a key factor in his decision. Cassutt said she’s confident Obama would carry Minnesota as the party’s nominee in the general election.

That’s a wrap up. Let me know if you think I missed anything… or if you have any thoughts.

And, I promise, it won’t be so long between entries next time.

‘Til then, at the polls, RS.

February 20, 2008: Obama Sweep Continues

Barack Obama continued his winning streak making it TEN wins, with Wisconsin, Washington state and Hawaii.

He captured at least 55 delegates, with 6 still to be awarded. Clinton won at least 33.

That means, for the Clinton campaign, Ohio and Texas are now even more important. (They have primaries next month).

Clinton has been playing the experience card for a while now, but it’s not working. Obama’s message of change is overpowering hers.

Now, they’re both looking to Texas and Ohio, who vote March 4^th. Early polls had Clinton leading by a large margin in Texas, but that lead is now melting away.

John McCain essentially has the nomination in the bag. He’s now looking to November, as his rhetoric switches to focus more on the general election.

He’s getting more support from the very right-wing conservatives, and his challenge now? Fundraising.

McCain won at least 34 delegates in Wisconsin and Washington state, with 22 delegates still to be awarded. 

So do you think the party’s over for Hillary Clinton? Let me know.

‘Til next time, RS.

February 19, 2008: Primary Day

Republicans head to the polls today in Washington State and Wisconsin. There are 56 delegates up for grabs in those contests.

Meanwhile, Mike Huckabee has continued to push his long shot bid for the presidency. And, John McCain got a major endorsement from Former President Bush.

On the other side: 94 Democratic delegates are at stake in presidential contests in Wisconsin and Hawaii.

More tomorrow when we have results!

Until then, Rosemary.

February 15, 2008: Oh, How Quickly They Become Friends

Mitt Romney has officially endorsed John McCain. Yep, you read that right: the same two men who used to get into bitter, bitter debates with one another.

Romney made the announcement yesterday in Boston. Apparently, they’ve set aside their differences.

Meanwhile, Hillary Clinton can officially put New Mexico in her win column now—that, after a nine day recount. Clinton is focusing on Ohio and Texas. Barack Obama is focusing on Tuesday’s contests in Hawaii and Wisconsin.

Clinton appears to be losing some of her steam. US Congressman John Lewis, one of Clinton’s most prominent black supporters, has now said he’ll cast his super delegate vote for Barack Obama.

The Georgia Democrat endorsed Clinton last year, but now says, “In recent days there a sense of movement and a sense of spirit. Something is happening in America and people are ready to make that great leap.”

It’s significant because Lewis is an elder statesman from the civil rights era who carries a lot of influence among members of Congress.

So, thoughts on Hillary Clinton? Let me know.

Have a great weekend—and I’ll talk to you soon. Rosemary 


February 13, 2008: Primaries… And Viewer Emails

First things first: I added a link at the top of this page, so you can access the CBS News political website. It has the latest delegate count and all of the other top stories in the race for the White House.

Now, as expected, John McCain and Barack Obama sweep the Potomac Primaries, winning D.C., Maryland and Virginia.

Obama is now riding the wave of eight straight wins and leads Hillary Clinton in the delegate count.

Up next: Wisconsin and Hawaii. Both are expected to vote Obama, so Clinton has turned her attention to Texas and Ohio.

For the Republicans, Texas is a win or take all state. McCain is looking solidify his lead (which is significant). But! Mike Huckabee just won’t go away… McCain won all three of the Potomac Primaries, but Huckabee kept it closer than people had anticipated in Virginia.

So, let’s take a break from the campaign trail. A viewer wrote in about the economic stimulus package (President Bush signs it today), saying most of the people he has talked with say they’ll be “paying down existing debt, or trying to put it away for a rainy day.”

That’s what I think most people are doing. That’s not what our leaders were hoping for—it doesn’t stimulate the economy! And, experts are saying if the checks are sent out in May, it might be too late to head off a downturn that’s already here. Still, they also say the plan could KEEP the downturn from turning into a crisis.

What are you going to do with the money? Do you think it will help? Let me know.

Talk to you soon, rs.


February 12, 2008: Potomac Primaries

So, the candidates are facing off today in D.C., Virginia and Maryland. Early reports have Barack Obama and John McCain in the lead.

McCain is expected to sweep all three, leaving Mike Huckabee trailing. But, Huckabee isn’t quitting. He picked up two states this weekend, and he’s telling his supporters he won’t quit if he keeps winning.

Obama, on the other hand, is hoping to win in a landslide, and he’s favored to do so. SOOO, Hillary Clinton has moved on to greener pastures, focusing her attention on Ohio and Texas.

More tomorrow, when we have results. AND! What viewers are saying about Campaign 2008.

At the polls, Rosemary


February 11, 2008: Obama Pulls Ahead

It’s a horse race. An actual horse race. Barack Obama now has a slight lead in the delegate count after the Illinois Senator picked up four wins this weekend in Louisiana, Nebraska, Washington State and Maine.

In an effort to slow his momentum, Clinton has named a new campaign manager, longtime aide Maggie Williams (she replaces longtime campaign manager Patti Solis Doyle).

Tomorrow, they’re looking at contests in Washington, D.C., Maryland and Virginia.

Onnnn the Republican side, Mike Huckabee had a good weekend. But, um, can I just point this out: Mike Huckabee cannot MATHEMATICALLY win the Republican nomination. Huckabee beat McCain in Kansas and Louisiana. McCain won in Washington, but with 26 percent of the vote to Huckabee’s 24 percent.

So, Huckabee can’t win the nomination, but he’s sticking around. Why. Well, it may be in the hopes of grabbing the vice presidential nod, or, to just give the Christian right a sounding board. (Many are not so happy with McCain as their candidate).

Huckabee said this, on Saturday: “I did not major in math, but I majored in miracles, and I still believe in them.” Ummmm…

Any thoughts?

More soon… Rosemary


February 7, 2008: John McCain, GOP Candidate?

Mitt Romney has suspended his campaign for the Republican presidential nomination. 

Romney made the announcement today saying if he continued it would, "forestall the launch of a national campaign and be making it easier for Senator Clinton or Obama to win." 

Romney continued on to say, if it were only about him, he would push on. But, he feels this is a race about America. "I entered this race because I love America, and because I love America," he said, "in this time of war, I feel I have to now stand aside for our party and our country." 

Just before Super Tuesday, Romney had called on Mike Huckabee to drop out of the race, saying he was splitting the vote. But, post-Super Tuesday, Romney emerged the candidate in troubled waters. 

Now, with Romney out, McCain solidifies his spot as the GOP front-runner. In his speech today, Romney said, "I disagree with Senator McCain on a number of issues, but I agree with him on doing whatever it takes to be successful in Iraq... and I agree with him on eliminating al Qaida and terror worldwide."

So, what does this mean for the Democrats? Romney had been viewed as a candidate more vulnerable than John McCain. Political experts say Romney's record was easier to attack than McCain's--Romney used to be pro-choice, now he's anti-abortion; he's changed his position on stem cells, on gay unions, etc. A run against McCain would be arguably more difficult. 

What are your thoughts on Mitt Romney? Let me know. And I'll talk to you soon. - Rosemary

February 7, 2008: Romney "Suspending Campaign"

This just in: GOP sources are saying Mitt Romney is suspending his campaign. More on this news after the midday show.


February 6, 2008: Post-Super Tuesday, Part Two

Okay, part two.

First: an update on delegate counts.

DEMOCRATS (Need 2,025 to win):

                Clinton: 818

                Obama: 730

REPUBLICANS (Need 1,191 to win):

                McCain: 680

                Romney: 270

                Huckabee: 176

                Paul: 16

Next up: I want to talk a bit about the caucuses here in our area. I was reporting last night, and got to head down to Mankato East for both the Democratic and Republican meetings.

I was so impressed by the sheer number of people there. Unbelievable.

To be honest, I’ve never been to a caucus in Minnesota. I’m old enough to have participated in one presidential election, but I didn’t participate in the caucus. I had chills walking in. It’s so amazing to see so many people engaged in the political process. I have so much respect for individual, every day citizens who are invested in the future of their country and the world. Party affiliation aside, it’s an amazing thing to see.

In Minnesota, around 200,000 Democrats came out to vote. 50,000 Republicans voted. These are record-breaking numbers. Officials say, in part, it has to do with moving the caucus day up a month. The Minnesota caucuses used to take place in March, but they were moved up this year to encourage voter participation.

I spoke with the Blue Earth County GOP Chairman Jerry Groebner last night, and he was SO impressed by voter turnout. He said voter turnout has been on the decrease over the last few years, and this year, voters came out in huge numbers. This year, we had a voice in choosing the nominee. In years past, the nominee had essentially been chosen by the time we headed to the caucus. But this time, what we said, mattered. And that, is huge.

I also think there’s a new energy in this election—perhaps people feel more invested, or moved to participate in the process. Why do you think so many people felt compelled to come out and vote? Let me know!

Here’s how we voted in Minnesota:

DEMOCRATS:

With 82% of precincts reporting, Obama takes 67%, Clinton takes 32%.

More specifically, in Blue Earth County, it broke down this way:

                Obama: 66%

                Clinton: 34%

Those numbers were consistent with the majority of the counties in the KEYC viewing area.

REPUBLICANS:

With 94% of precincts reporting, Romney takes 42%, McCain 22%, Huckabee 20%, Paul 16%.

And in Blue Earth County, it looked like this:

                Paul: 31%

                McCain: 25%

                Huckabee: 23%

                Romney: 20%       

If you’re wondering about other counties in our area, let me know, and I’ll get the numbers for you.

Did you participate in the caucus? We’d been hearing reports they ran out of ballots at some of the locations—did you find that? Let me know. I want to hear all about it!

In my next few entries: what viewers are saying about Campaign 2008. And what the candidates are up to AFTER Super Tuesday. What happens next???

At the polls, RS.

February 6, 2008: Post-Super Tuesday, Part One

Here’s part one of my post-Super Tuesday entry.

GOP Results:

John McCain takes 511 delegates.

Mitt Romney takes 176.

Mike Huckabee takes 147.

Overall, McCain now has 613 delegates, which is more than half the 1,191 needed for the nomination. 


Democratic Results: 

(Keeping in mind: some of the Super Tuesday delegates haven't been decided)

Hillary Clinton takes 584 delegates.

Barack Obama takes 563.

It takes 2,2025 delegates to win the Democratic nomination. Clinton now has 845, Obama has 765.

More later today. -Rosemary

February 5, 2008: SUPER TUESDAY!! WOO HOO!

The day has finally arrived!!!

Let’s cover the basics first:

MEMBERS OF ANY PARTY, to find your VOTING LOCATION, click HERE. 

BOTH the Republican and Democratic caucuses start at SEVEN P.M. sharp.

Okay. Now let’s talk what we know so far. As I’m writing this, it’s just before one o’clock. So, all of this information is what I know, right now.

First off: It’s an historic day! I’m SO excited. I can’t even tell you. I’m old enough to have voted in ONE presidential election (Bush/Cheney versus Kerry/Edwards) and from my vantage point, it seems like there’s SO much more energy this time around. And I’m SO excited to participate in this process.

Millions of voters are heading to the polls. Voters are turning out in record numbers. Minnesotans will head to the polls this evening. We’ll be joining voters from two dozen other states.

Party leaders here in Minnesota are anticipating huge numbers. Democrats say they think about 70,000 people will head out; Republicans say anywhere between 30,000 and 50,000.

This is HUGE! And very exciting. We’re getting our say in who becomes the next President of the United States.

A recent Minnesota poll had the candidates standing this way:

REPUBLICANS:

      John McCain: 41%

                Mike Huckabee 22%

                Mitt Romney 17%

DEMOCRATS:

                Hillary Clinton: 40%

                Barack Obama: 33%

Now, Minnesota plays a bigger role on the Democratic side because the results are binding for Democratic delegates. The vote is NOT biding on the GOP side.

For more on this, see the entry just below, from February 1^st.

There are a few MAJOR states up for grabs today: California, New York, Illinois, New Jersey, Missouri and Georgia.

As of the midday show today, here was the information from CBS.

And, here’s what the candidates have been up to today.

                Hillary Clinton cast her ballot in her home state of New York today with husband, former President Bill Clinton and daughter Chelsea by her side, saying it’s time to get our country back on the right track.

                Barack Obama spent the day in California promoting his health care plan.

                John McCain spent the morning in New York (he was joined by former opponent Rudy Giuliani), and then he had plans to fly to California, and finish his day in Arizona.

                Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee addressed the West Virginia Republican convention.

So, what’s everyone predicting today? Pundits are saying Romney has gained ground against McCain in California. Romney is going to split races in the south with Huckabee. McCain’s going to win the Midwest. And the Northeast.

And, on the other side: Clinton and Obama are expected to split the delegates pretty evenly. Some are saying Obama has the advantage in states that have caucuses. And they say Clinton has to carry the big states (Cali, New York, etc). There’s no speculation either one will walk away with the nomination tonight.

Anyway, that’s just what they’re saying for now. Who knows. At this point, it’s kind of a wait-and-see game. I’ll be back tomorrow, with a break down of ALL the results. 

GAHH, I’m so excited!!

Email me and let me know about your caucus experience. I want to hear all about it! And, make sure to tune in to News 12 at ten with Dion Cheney for ALL the latest information.

And, don’t forget to vote!!! I’ll see you there!!!

HAPPY SUPER TUESDAY!  -Rosemary

February 4, 2008: ARE YOU EXCITED?!?!?!?!

Because I am!!!!

It’s just one day away, it’s just one day away, it’s just one day away!

Time to head to the caucuses.

So, here’s some info for you, heading into the caucuses:

Mitt Romney believes it’ll be a two-person race for the Republican nomination after tomorrow: Romney vs. McCain. AND, he says, the conservative base doesn’t want McCain, they want him.

Meanwhile, McCain says he’ll reach across the aisle to Democrats (while “maintaining his Conservative Republican credentials”). McCain is leading in the polls (over Mitt Romney); but, he said, “I’ve seen that movie before.” As in, he’s not getting his hopes up.

Mike Huckabee, on the other hand, says he’s not dropping out. Huckabee won only the Iowa caucuses. He says no one thought he had a chance, but he’s still on his feet.

Meanwhile, Barack Obama had a verrry busy weekend. The Illinois Senator spent Sunday in Delaware, and sent wife Michelle, Oprah Winfrey, Caroline Kennedy and Maria Shriver (wife of California Governor Arnold Schwarzenegger) out on the road from him this weekend.

(Interesting side note: Maria Shriver is campaigning for Barack Obama. Her husband has endorsed Republican John McCain. LOVE IT.)

And Hillary Clinton says she welcomes attacks from the GOP. McCain and Romney have been busy contrasting themselves with Clinton, and she says she’s been “taking the incoming fire from Republicans for about sixteen years.”

Clinton is watching her lead in the national polls dwindle. They’re sitting at forty one percent AND forty one percent in the polls.

This is why you HAVE to vote!!!!!!! It’s up to us to decide. Have fun tomorrow. Let me know how it goes. 

See you (FOR REAL!) at the polls, rs.

February 1, 2008: FINALLY! Getting to the MN Caucus (And also, the debates)

Okay, here goes…

First things first: if you missed it last night, check out Erin Connolly’s GREAT STORY about the Minnesota caucus from last night’s six o’clock news.

Next up, let’s talk about the caucus. As I mentioned when it was Iowa’s turn to caucus, a caucus is essentially a neighborhood meeting (held every two years), where people get together, drink some coffee, eat some donuts, and talk about politics.

Let’s be honest with ourselves: the process itself is confusing. I’m not going to lie, I had to do a bit of research to figure it out. But, we’ll start with the basics. 

So, who can attend the caucuses? According to the Minnesota Office of the Secretary of State, precinct caucuses are open to the public. You can participate if you're eligible to vote in the November 4, 2008 state general election and support, or be likely to support, the candidates of the political party whose caucus you attend.

If you’re a Democrat, here’s how it works.

You can go to the caucus, vote, and leave. Your vote is secret, and that sets us apart from Iowa. In Iowa, you have to stand up and publicly declare your candidate. (‘I love Hillary Clinton! No, I love Barack Obama!’)

The results of the vote are binding. Democratic candidates win delegates to the national convention based on the number of votes they receive in the caucus. 

Here’s what I know about the ways in which the delegates are assigned:

       There are 88 delegates in all. 

       There are 16 “SUPER DELEGATES!" (I'm adding the exclamation point because it's like, 'SUPPPERRRR DELEGATE!!!!!') who get to support whoever they want (now that we’re down to two, it’ll be either Obama or Clinton). 

       The other 72 delegates (they’re just “REGULAR,” not “SUPER” (!)) are assigned on the night of the caucus, proportionate to vote totals.

Democrats! Find your caucus locations HERE!

Nowwww, let’s talk about the Republicans. On the Republican side, results aren’t binding.

State GOP Chair Ron Carey says the results of the vote are influential, but they don’t necessarily DIRECT the number of delegates. The delegates are decided later, at the state convention. That’s in the spring.

So, why do the Republicans caucus, then?

Well, it gives GOP-ers a chance to have a voice. Republicans who caucus get to talk about the issues they want listed in the state Republican Party platform. (DFLers also talk about party platforms).

Republicans! Find your caucus locations HERE!

And what if you’re not a Republican or a Democrat? Well, if you’re a member of the Independence party, find your caucus location HERE!

Members of the Green Party can find their caucus locations HERE!

I’ll link you to all four party websites here:

MN Republican Party

MN Democratic Party

MN Independence Party

MN Green Party

Look at all that information! Now there’s no excuse not to get moving and participate in this process! It’s a very exciting time, and Minnesota’s vote really will matter. That means YOUR vote will matter. And that’s GREAT!

Also: if you’re looking for a non-partisan precinct finder, check out the Minnesota Secretary of State’s website HERE!

SWITCHING TOPICS!!!

Let’s also talk about the debates. Senators Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama debated last night, the Republicans the night before.

I’ll start with Clinton and Obama, because they’re shifting gears a bit, trying to convince everyone they’re friends. How cute. Obama said, “I was friends with Hillary Clinton before we started this campaign. I will be friends with Hillary Clinton after this campaign is over.”

They did take jabs at one another, but it was friendlier and there was more laughing.

Clinton took lots of questions on the war in Iraq (why didn’t she vote against it in the first place, she says she voted with the knowledge she had at the time, which is different than the knowledge she has now), and lots of questions about her husband’s role in her campaign (she says the American people are voting for ONE person, ONE candidate, IE. You’re not voting for Bill Clinton when you vote for her). On her husband, Former President Clinton she did say, “You know, it did take a Clinton to clean up after the first Bush, and I think it might take another one to clean up after the second Bush.”

Obama stressed his ability to inspire and bring people together, and also took questions on Iraq and his experience. Obama said, “You know, Senator Clinton mentioned the issue of gravitas and judgment. The reason that this is important again is that Senator Clinton, I think, fairly has claimed that she’s got the experience on day one. And part of the argument that I’m making in this campaign is that it is important to be right on day one.”

Big moment of the night that had some audience members on their feet: Wolf Blitzer asked if either candidate would ever consider an Obama-Clinton or Clinton-Obama ticket. Obama jokes, “Obviously there’s a big difference between those two.” Then sidestepped the question. Then Clinton agreed. Then they whispered and hugged and realllllly acted like they like one another!

Now onto the Republican debate… ACCUSATION CENTRAL!

I’ll tell you this much: Ron Paul and Mike Huckabee may have been there… but, this was all about John McCain and Mitt Romney (the two front-runners).

McCain and Romney were NOT happy to see one another. McCain attacked Romney claiming Romney once said America should withdraw from Iraq. Then he said he supported the troop surge early on.

Theeennnn, Romney called the accusation “reprehensible.” Romney responded saying, “Let me make it absolutely clear again tonight: I will not pull our troops out until we have brought success in Iraq.”

That was the sharpest exchange of the whole debate, but it wasn’t the only one. McCain questioned Romney’s skills as a business leader, saying ‘sometimes people lost their jobs.’ That was in response to a question about who would best run the nation. Romney went after McCain for not being “conservative enough,” pointing to what he views as a gulf between the Arizona senator and the Republican party’s conservative base.

Ahhh, all good fun.

Anyway, I’ll be back Super Tuesday… to break it ALL down.

And don’t forget: It’s your chance to make your voice heard. So, get out and vote!

At the polls, Rosemary.


January 31, 2008: Senator Kathy Sheran Interview

If you missed my interview with Mankato Senator Kathy Sheran on News 12 Midday today, you can catch it here. And make sure to tune in tonight at six, Erin Connolly has a story about the MN Caucus process. And tomorrow, we'll get into it here, as well. 

Stay tuned! rs.


January 30, 2008: Stay tuned tomorrow!

Make sure to tune in to News 12 Midday tomorrow. My live studio guest will be Mankato Senator Kathy Sheran talking about the upcoming legislative session. 


January 30, 2008: Florida Results; Candidate Pool Narrowing

So, John McCain took the top spot in Florida yesterday, giving him the upper hand heading into Super Tuesday. 

Mitt Romney came in second, Rudy Giuliani in third. Mike Huckabee is now saying he'll forge on, even despite finishing outside the top three. 

Giuliani had essentially put all his eggs in Florida's basket. He largely skipped the early voting states, focusing the majority of his attention on Florida. Now, Republican officials say the former New York Mayor will drop out of the race, and plans to endorse McCain. He's expected to make the announcement today in California. 

Mitt Romney is saying he'll carry his campaign into Super Tuesday, after narrowly losing to McCain. He's vowing to cut federal spending, end illegal immigration and teach children, "before they have babies, they sould get married." 

This was the fourth time the former Massachusetts Governor and the Arizona Senator had gone head to head in a major contest. Romney won his native Michigan, but McCain took New Hampshire and South Carolina. 

On the other side: Hillary Clinton easily took Florida, and while she's touting the victory today, at this point, it doesn't really matter. No delegates were at stake, and no Democratic candidate campaigned in the state. Still, Clinton calls her win a welcome victory. 

Barack Obama's campaign is dismissing the result. 

The two collide next week, when almost 1,700 Democratic delegates are at stake in over 20 states. 

And today: former Senator John Edwards of North Carolina, is dropping out of the race for the presidential nomination. He has reportedly told top advisors about his decision, and will apparently make the announcement in a speech around noon in New Orleans. 

All right, I'm working on the midday show right now, so I'm not going to get into Minnesota's caucuses now (we vote Super Tuesday), but I promise I'll write about it soon. 

Have any questions about all of this? Any thoughts? Drop me a line. 

See ya at noon, rs.


January 30, 2008: Edwards, Giuliani to Drop Out

Getting early word both John Edwards and Rudy Giuliani will drop out of the presidential race. 

Democratic presidential candidate John Edwards is expected to make the announcement today in New Orleans. 

And GOP candidate Giuliani is also expected to make the announcement today (this after his loss in Florida--a contest he had counted on), and back John McCain. More later! rs.


January 28, 2008: How about a standing ovation?? 

So, we had a friendly bet in the newsroom about how many standing ovations the President would get this evening. I lost count, but I'll tell you this much, I won. 

On a more serious note: as expected, the economy took top billing in this year's address. The president urged Congress to pass the economic stimulus package quickly saying, "The temptation will be to load up the bill. That would delay it or derail it and neither option is acceptable. This is a good agreement that will keep our economy growing and our people working. This Congress must pass it as soon as possible." 

We saw a lot of one side of the room standing, the other side of the room sitting. That's because he spoke a lot about unfinished business of his administration that's not supported by both Democrats and Republicans in Congress. One example: the extension of his 2001 and 2003 tax cuts. The president called for Congress to make the tax relief permanent. The Democrats didn't stand on that one. 

He also vowed to veto bills that don't significantly reduce lawmaker earmarks that benefit their districts or campaign contributors. Annnd, he spoke about extending his warrantless surveillance program currently causing a major battle in the Senate.

On the international scene, the president highlighted success in Iraq saying, "The enemy is still dangerous, more work remains. The American and Iraqi surges have achieved results few of us could have imagined just one year ago." For the first time in a State of the Union Address, the president spoke about the Mideast peace process saying he's hopeful about the possibility of finding common ground between Israel and Palestine. 

WHOO. There was quite a bit in this one... I can't even get to it all. I'm actually about to go on the air for the FOX Mankato News at nine... so I must run. Right now, we're waiting for Kansas Governor Kathleen Sebelius to give the Democratic response. I'll have more later, and I'll also have results from the Florida primary. What'd you think of the State of the Union??? Email me. 

Catch you later, Rosemary


January 28, 2008: State of the Union

Can you believe it? It’s President Bush's final State of the Union address.

The president will reportedly urge Congress to act on the struggling US economy. The president will ask Congress to finish up an economic stimulus package quickly. Some congressional Democrats had been pushing for a broader bill, but in his weekly radio address Saturday, the President suggested trying to add to the bill would derail efforts saying, “I ask the House and Senate to enact this package into law as soon as possible. And while I understand the desire to add provisions from both the left and the right, it would be a mistake to undermine this important bipartisan agreement.”

The president is also expected to touch on successes in Iraq—he’ll talk up recent progress and reportedly will tell Congress he’s the one who’ll decided when US troops come home.

We’ll have a preview of the State of the Union today on News 12 Midday, and I’ll be reporting on the FOX Mankato News at nine RIGHT AFTER the State of the Union address tonight.

Stay tuned!

Rosemary

January 26, 2008: Obama Wins SC in Early Projections

Early projections have Senator Barack Obama winning South Carolina. If exit poll numbers are accurate, Obama will win by a large margin. 

Hillary Clinton is currently projected at second, and John Edwards in third. A note: Edwards had said he wouldn't drop out of the race, even if he finished third behind Obama and Clinton.

It's currently 7:15 -- with seven percent of precincts reporting, Obama had 51 percent, Clinton had 29 percent and Edwards had 19 percent. 

This is the last race for the Democrats before Super Tuesday on February 5th. Make sure to tune in to News 12 at ten for the latest results. 

See ya lata, rs.


January 25, 2008: Bye, Bye Kucinich; Hello South Carolina, Florida

Well, there’ll be one less person at the Democratic debates.

Dennis Kucinich announced today he’s dropping out of the presidential race, but he says, he’s not giving up on his campaign promises. 
The six-term Congressman says he’ll continue to fight on important issues as a member of the House.

Meanwhile, Democrats in South Carolina head to the polls tomorrow. Various polls have Senator Barack Obama up seven to ten points on Senator Hillary Clinton in the state (some have him in a double digit lead). This is a huge contest to watch—experts are saying African American women, in particular, are torn between Clinton and Obama. As I’ve mentioned before, this is really the first contest (for the Democrats), where African Americans make up a significant portion of the voters. I’ll be watching tomorrow, and make sure to tune in to News 12 at ten for the latest information on the primary.

And: Governor Pawlenty is in Florida campaigning with Republican John McCain this weekend. McCain is getting a big boost there—the Associated Press is reporting Florida Senator Mel Martinez is endorsing McCain today, which will likely give McCain more support from the state’s Cuban-Americans.

This endorsement comes just days before the Florida primary scheduled for next Tuesday (It’s the last primary before voters in over twenty states will head to the polls on Super Tuesday). Former New York Mayor Rudy Giuliani has been focusing lots of attention on Florida, but he’s now trailing McCain and Mitt Romney, who are fighting for that top spot.

And finally: President Bush is urging Congress to pass the economic stimulus package quickly…He’s hoping to JUMPSTART the economy. But, the question remains: WILL IT WORK?????

That's all I have today. Until next time! RS.


January 24, 2008: Update!

Update on the economic stimulus package: House leaders and the White House have reached a tentative agreement on a package worth about 150 billion dollars (eh, chump change).

It’ll mean stipends of 300 to 1,200 dollars per family and provide tax incentives for businesses. Annnd, this is all in an effort to encourage spending.

This “tax rebate,” as some are calling it, has income limits, so the very wealthy won’t receive it.

The announcement came from  House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and Representative John Boehner (Republican leader), as well as Henry Paulson, the Treasury Secretary.

Yay for bipartisanship breeding money for the rest of us!!

Now you can really tell me, how are you going to spend the extra mula?


January 24, 2008: What would you do with an extra three hundred dollars?

I’m going to take a break from following the campaign trail, and talk about the new economic stimulus package.

Here’s what I’m wondering: what would you do with an extra three hundred dollars?

I know what I’d do: pay bills. And maybe buy just onnnne pair of shoes. Because everybody deserves a treat ever so often.

A plan for tax rebates for nearly all working Americans now has the green light from Congress. Right now, the plan calls for rebates of at least three hundred dollars for nearly everyone who earns a paycheck. NICE, right?

But here’s my question: the point of the plan is to stimulate the economy (thus the reason it’s being called the “economic stimulus plan” – yes, I figured that much out), but is it really going to do what it’s meant to do?

I probably wouldn’t go out and spend the three hundred dollars on things. I’m more likely to pay my bills, pay for gas--the necessities. And it seems like I’m not alone. There are a lot of people—particularly people with families—who’ve been talking for a long time now about having a hard time making ends meet. Oil prices are high, which means it costs more to drive our cars. Grocery store prices are going up, which means it costs more to feed our families. Heating bills are higher. Everything seems to cost more—and because of that, I would argue the majority of people won’t be going out to stimulate the economy; rather, they’ll be paying bills and paying off debt.

Don’t get me wrong, I’ll gladly take the three hundred dollars! But, I’m not quite sure the plan is going to work.

Then again, I know lots of people who say they will go out and spend the money. So, perhaps it’ll be enough to ease worries of a recession.

The sticking point in Washington is tax breaks for businesses. The current agreement is being overhauled because it would cost 70 billion dollars. That’s more than what had been expected.

So, it’s 12:47 p.m. as I’m writing this, and the Bush administration is saying this rare—and it is rare—show of bi-partisanship could lead to an announcement of a stimulus plan before the end of the day.

Tell me, what would you do with three hundred extra dollars? Would you go out and spend it? What do you think of the plan? I’d love to know.

Until next time, I’m at the polls (kind of), Rosemary


January 22, 2008: Fred Thompson Dropping Out

This just in: Fred Thompson is dropping out of the presidential race. 

The Republican candidate and former senator said in a statement today, "Today I have withdrawn my candidacy for president of the United States." 

Thompson was elected the US Senate in 1994 and represented Tennessee for eight years. He had hoped to do well in South Carolina, but he finished with just 16 percent of the vote.

He entered the race in September, long after his GOP opponents. Today, he exited the race saying, "I hope that my country and my party have benefited from our having made this effort."


January 22, 2008: Ahhhh! There’s so much to get to…

Okay, I’ve been gone and I’m missing all the action! Where to begin?

Let’s start with South Carolina last Saturday: John McCain won the competition, holding off Mike Huckabee 33 percent to 30. Mitt Romney came in fourth place, behind Fred Thompson.

And then there’s Nevada: Mitt Romney won the caucuses there with 51 percent of the vote. Next up, Ron Paul, followed by John McCain, Mike Huckabee, Fred Thompson, Rudy Giuliani and Duncan Hunter.

And on the other side: Hillary Clinton won Nevada with 51 percent of the vote, Barack Obama came in second with 45 percent and John Edwards came in third with four percent. The rest of the candidates had zero percent of the vote there. The odd thing about Nevada is: despite the fact that Senator Clinton came in first, she’ll get fewer of Nevada’s delegates. Clinton will receive twelve out of the 25 national delegates, while Obama will receive 13. That’s because of the proportional manner in which Nevada awards delegates.

Despite the win in Nevada, the Clinton campaign is tempering expectations in South Carolina largely because of the African-American vote. According to the Wall Street Journal, Nevada exit polls showed 83 percent of the state's black voters supported Obama; in South Carolina, half of all likely Democratic voters are black.

So, here are the delegate numbers so far for the Democrats (a candidate needs 2,025 delegates to secure the Democratic nomination):

Clinton: 190

Obama: 103

Edwards: 51

And for the Republicans (a candidate needs 1,191 delegates to secure the Republican nomination):

Romney: 54

Huckabee: 22

McCain: 15

Thompson: 6

Paul: 2

Giuliani: 1

Hunter: 1

Okay, let’s move on to last night’s debate. Apparently, Clinton and Obama have called off the truce. Well, that’s not official, but seriously: the two of them were taking jabs left and right last night at the debate in Myrtle Beach, South Carolina.

The debates came four days before Saturday’s Democratic primary in South Carolina. It’s the first one in the south—and it’s very important. It’s the last contest before “Super Tuesday” on February 5^th—that’s when primary voters in 24 states will head to the polls.

So anyway, words can’t really do justice to the bickering and the jabbing and the name calling… so I’ll send you here to check it out. It’s worth a look-see, I promise. But, to summarize: neither one thinks the other is suited for the job. Obama says he doesn’t know who he’s campaigning against (referring to the amount of time Clinton’s husband, former President Bill Clinton spends on the campaign trail). Clinton says it’s hard to campaign against Obama because he refuses to take responsibility for his voting record.

Can we please note John Edwards trying to get a word in edgewise? Seriously—poor guy just wants to finish a sentence. But, the fighting might actually be in his favor, because he gets to look like the candidate most interested in actual discussion, than in going after his opponents’ throats.

TODAY, Clinton is saying the “contentious” candidates’ debate was a result of frustration on the part of Senator Obama. She claims he’s frustrated after losses in New Hampshire and Nevada. Meanwhile, Obama is saying Clinton is willing to “fudge the truth” to gain the Democratic nomination.

Not to be forgotten! The Edwards campaign has released an ad today highlighting why he’s the best candidate to fight for change. The ad begins with photographs of Clinton and Obama, as the narrator states, “One gets more money than anyone from drug companies. The other one takes more money than anyone from Washington lobbyists. What’s happened to the Democratic Party?”

Oh, good times.

That’s all I have for now. Email me with your thoughts. Do you like all the back and forth? Let me know.

Talk to you soon.

At the polls, rs.

Oh wait, ps: coming up I'll get into details of Minnesota's caucuses... we're one of the states that heads to the polls on Super Tuesday.

January 16, 2008: Romney Wins Michigan
(So does Clinton, but we could have guessed that)

Mitt Romney has grabbed a much-needed win in Michigan. That means there have been three different winners in three different races—Huckabee in Iowa, McCain in New Hampshire and now Romney in Michigan. The win was crucial for Romney (Michigan is his home state), who’s had a sagging campaign of late. McCain came in second, Huckabee in third. And, at the bottom of the list: Ron Paul, Fred Thompson and Rudy Giuliani.

Third place winner Mike Huckabee is not giving up hope; he told supporters in South Carolina he expects he’ll win the primary there. GOP voters go to the polls there on Saturday.

And, not to be out-predicted, John McCain says he thinks he’ll win in South Carolina Saturday. He said he thought his campaign would get easier after a New Hampshire win, but, that wasn’t to be. Now he’s hoping for a big showing on Saturday.

Meeeeanwhile, Hillary Clinton took the top spot on the Democratic side. BUT! That’s not a huge surprise since she was the party’s only major candidate with a name on the ballot. Her main competition came from the “uncommitted” line on the ballot. That’s the line supporters of John Edwards and Barack Obama had encouraged voters to mark.

And, in the biggest news of all: Clinton and Obama are agreeing to bury a debate over race. In their debate last night from Las Vegas, both Senators agreed their supporters say things they themselves would not say. Obama said he regrets his campaign pushed the story of racial divisiveness, while Clinton said comments by one of her prominent supporters were inappropriate.

Then they hugged and made up. Just kidding. That didn’t happen. But it seems the hatchet has been buried for now…

That’s all for now…

Talk to you soon.

At the polls, Rosemary



January 15, 2008: Michigan Polls Open

The polls are open in Michigan for presidential primary voting. Mitt Romney and John McCain are in a tight race for the top spot, while Mike Huckabee is running in third. 

Polls give Romney a *bit of a lead over McCain (side note: do you believe the polls? Do you believe "experts" who predict who will win? They had it all wrong going into New Hampshire, and were forced to back pedal when Clinton and McCain won. Let me know). 

The economy is the big story here. Michigan has one of the highest unemployment rates in the country and the front-running GOP candidates are vowing to make reviving the state's economy a top priority.

It's a virtually meaningless race on the other side: Hillary Clinton's name is the only one on the ballot. 

That's because Barack Obama and John Edwards pulled thir names when the state broke national party rules and scheduled their primary earlier than planned. Their supporters are asking voters to mark, "uncommitted" on the ballot. 


Meanwhile, Clinton and Obama seem to be in the midst of a war of words... although, I understand they're looking for a truce, but we'll get to that in a minute... 

Here's what happened: Clinton said this: "Dr. King's dream began to be realized when President Lyndon Johnson passed the Civil Rights Act of 1964. ... It took a president to get it done." 

And suddenly, everyone's talking about race (were we not talking about this before? Is this the first time it's come up?) and about what role it'll play in the election, particularly heading into the South Carolina primary, the first that'll include a significant representation of black voters (the AP reports blacks were 50 percent of primary voters there in 2004, and the numbers are expected to grow this time around).

So, Obama responds saying he thought Clinton's comments were "ill-advised" and "unfortunate." 

Thennnnnn, John Edwards hops on board and says, "I must say I was troubled recently to see a suggestion that real change came not through the Rev. Dr. Martin Luther King but through a Washington politician. I fundamentally disagree with that." 

Annnnd then Clinton fires back, saying Obama had injected racial tension into the presidential contest and distorted her comments for political gain. 

But! As I mentioned, it NOW appears we're headed toward a truce. Clinton's campaign issued this statement: "We differ on a lot of things. And it is critical to have the right kind of discussion on where we stand. But when it comes to civil rights and our commitment to diversity, when it comes to our heroes -- President John F. Kennedy and Dr. King -- Sen. Obama and I are on the same side."

And Obama told ABC News he didn't think her comment was racially motivated. 

But even despite the truce, folks from both campaigns are still warring and it doesn't seem to be an issue that's going to go away any time soon. 

What do you think? Do you think race, and let's not forget gender--are going to play a role in this campaign? 

More tomorrow, once Michigan's results are in. 

'Til then! at the polls, rs.


January 9, 2008: Clinton, McCain Grab Victories

Hillary Clinton comes back from third place in Iowa to grab a victory in the New Hampshire primary. 

The numbers broke down like this: 

Hillary Clinton 39% 
Barack Obama 36% 
John Edwards 17%
Bill Richardson 5% 

It could be called an upset victory... going into the vote, polls had shown an Obama win. But, it was a big week for Clinton, after the loss in Iowa. She teared up. She found herself the center of attacks from John Edwards and Barack Obama at the New Hampshire ABC debates. She tried to attack Obama's image as the "agent of change," and instead called him the agent of "false hope." And, it seemed to work. She got the female vote. 

The AP reports: a survey of women as they left their polling places showed Clinton winning 47 percent of women, compared to Obama's 34 percent. Still... Obama has momentum coming out of the Iowa Caucus. And he's still viewed as the candidate for change, whereas Clinton is viewed as the candidate with experience. 

Meanwhile, John Edwards, who placed third in both Iowa and New Hampshire has said he's in this for the long haul. He's hopeful South Carolina--his home state--can bring him a big win.

And on the other side: it's a comeback story for John McCain. 

Here are those numbers: 
John McCain 37% 
Mitt Romney 32% 
Mike Huckabee 11% 
Rudy Giuliani 9% 

The thing is: John McCain's campaign was essentially dead last summer... and here he is, grabbing the top spot in New Hampshire. 

That's over Mitt Romney, whose second place finish (after a second place finish in Iowa) is certainly a blow to his campaign. He spent millions of dollars more than his Republican opponents, and had hoped for wins in both Iowa and New Hampshire. Still, there's no counting Romney out of the game... or Mike Huckabee for that matter. And Giuliani has turned his attention to Florida, hoping to grab votes there. At this point, as I heard one pundit say last night, "It's anyone's game." 

Now, the question for us is: how will these results affect voting here in Minnesota? Perhaps the close races will mean candidates stop by before we vote February 5th, hoping to gain our votes. 

Let me know what you think! 

Talk to you soon. 
At the polls, rs. 

January 8, 2009: Big Turnout Expected in New Hampshire

The big day has arrived in New Hampshire. Voters are expected to turnout in huge numbers. Apparently, there are long lines at many of the polling locations, and the NH Secretary of State's office is saying anyone who's in line at eight p.m. (ET) will be allowed to vote. Early results show Obama and McCain in the lead, although that could change over the course of the day. 

New Hampshire is important not because of its size; but rather, because it's the first of the primaries. The candidates who can claim victory in New Hampshire get the momentum they need to head into "Super Tuesday." That's when, on February 5th, 24 states across the nation hold primaries (Minnesota is among those states). Needless to say, it'll be interesting to see who sticks in the race after results tonight, and who drops out. 

So, I did some searching to find out the official definitions for both a caucus and a primary, to help determine the difference between the two. They have the same purpose--to allow average citizens a hand in picking their party's nominee, but there are some distinct differences. A primary is essentially a process in which voters go to the polls, cast their vote for a candidate, and help determine the percentage of the state's delegates that candidate will receive. A caucus, on the other hand, is a more public meeting, where members of the party gather, discuss, hear speeches, and then (much like the primary) determine how many of the state's delegates that candidate will receive. Also in a caucus, citizens often vote for the actual delegates who will represent the candidates at the national convention. 

Still have questions? Ask away! 

Tomorrow I'll get into results of the New Hampshire vote and their implications for the future.

'Til then...

At the polls, rs. 

Oh, and one more note: Mike Huckabee has set up a campaign office in Minnesota. That happened yesterday with the Chairman of the Minnesota Republican Party, Ron Carey, annoucing he'll head up the campaign. The Minnesota campaign for Barack Obama held a kickoff over the weekend.

January 6, 2008: Day After NH Debates

I was at work last night for the New Hampshire debates. I did have them on in the background of the newsroom, and I'll tell you this much: these people don't seem to like each other a whole lot.

The Republicans--John McCain, Fred Thompson, Ron Paul, Mitt Romney, Mike Huckabee and Rudy Giuliani--took turns jabbing at one another; and in particular, seemed to take aim at Romney. The former Massachusetts governor came under attack for his campaign ads, his stance on immigration, his support for the war in Iraq... the list goes on and on. Romney and McCain shared the sharpest exchanges, which is interesting because Romney's numbers have been falling in the NH polls and McCain's have been rising. 

Romney had been leading in the Iowa polls, but he lost the caucuses to Huckabee. Huckabee, on the other hand, seems to have very little hope of winning the NH Primaries... but the Iowa caucus win could help his momentum. 

On the other side: it really seemed to be quite the showdown between Barack Obama and Hillary Clinton. After a third place finish in the Iowa caucuses--behind Obama and John Edwards--Clinton seemed determined to point out problems with Obama's record. 

Edwards meanwhile referred to himself, and Obama, as agents of change. That's Clinton's biggest hurdle right now--she can't seem to get voters to believe she'd be the agent of change Obama or Edwards would be... but, on the other hand, voters seem to respond to her experience. 

I thought this was the funniest part of the whole thing. Laughed out loud.

What'd you think of the debate? Let me know! 

The Republicans debate again tonight... but the debate last night was the last debate for the Democrats before the big vote. 

Next time I write: New Hampshire primary results... and the difference between a primary and a caucus. 

And, tonight at 10:30 (we're going on late), CBS News Correspondent Manuel Gallegus will have the latest on the campaign trail in NH. Hope to see you then.

At the polls, rs.


January 4, 2008: It's over, so now what?

Mike Huckabee and Barack Obama come out on top in Iowa. 

Huckabee, the former Arkansas Governor, grabbed the top spot largely due to the support of Evangelical Christians. He's a former Baptist preacher who says he combines social conservatism with economic populism. 

Pundits are crediting Obama's success to his message of bipartisanship--which was popular among young voters in Iowa.

It was neck-in-neck on the Democratic side going into the caucus with Obama, Hillary Clinton and John Edwards fighting for that top spot. 

But, it wasn't such a close finish at the end of it all.

Here's how it looked: 

Obama: 38%
Edwards: 30%
Clinton: 29%

Huckabee: 34%
Romney: 25%

It's a statement about how Iowans were choosing to vote this time around... essentially sending the message they're voting for change, over experience. 

The candidates haven't lingered in Iowa... they've already moved onto New Hampshire. 

Hillary Clinton said this morning she's running this race as a marathon, and said she is the candidate who will produce change. While Obama pulled ahead in Iowa, polls show he's still in for a close race with the New York Senator in New Hampshire.

As for the GOP: Mitt Romney says he's not giving up the fight. He's hoping for a big showing in New Hampshire, where John McCain is quite strong. McCain left for New Hampshire before the Iowa caucuses started, trying to get a head start before his opponents moved in.

As for the rest of the candidates: Democrats Joe Biden and Chris Dodd have dropped out of the race. And, there are rumblings Republican Fred Thompson will drop out to back John McCain. 

ABC has cut Democrats Dennis Kucinich and Mike Gravel, as well as Republican Duncan Hunter from their presidential debates scheduled for tomorrow. The network says that's because they didn't meet benchmarks for support. They had to either place between first and fourth in Iowa, poll five percent or more in the latest NH surveys, or poll five percent or higher in the latest national surveys. 

So, it seems... with Iowa as a backdrop, we move our eyes to New Hampshire to see what the candidates can do there... 

If you've got something on your mind, I'd love to hear from you: email me, here.

And, if you'd like to check out my story on the Iowa caucuses... and hear MSU Professor Joe Kunkel's thoughts on their importance, check it out here.

At the polls, 
rs.


January 3, 2008: The Iowa Caucus: What is it? And why should we care?

Hi! Welcome to my blog! 

I figured it was the perfect day for its launch because it’s the day many Iowans have been waiting for. 

Candidates for president have been making their way back and forth across Iowa for weeks preparing for the caucus. Between 200,000 and 300,000 of Iowa’s two million eligible voters will participate in the caucuses tonight. There aren’t many requirements for participation: any voter who’s registered as a Democrat or a Republican, and can prove residency in Iowa, can participate in the caucus of their party.

The Iowa caucus gets so much attention because many consider it the first step in the presidential nominating process.

The caucus gained notoriety in 1972 when George S. McGovern’s performance there helped him move past his rivals—who were more recognizable—and win the Democratic nomination.

Until now, candidates have been hitting as many of the state’s 99 counties as they can, hoping for a big showing at the schools, community centers and fire halls where voters will gather tonight.

After tonight: Iowa likely won’t see any of the candidates again for months. This really is their moment of glory, and it doesn’t last very long.

I spoke with Minnesota State University-Mankato Political Science Professor Joe Kunkel today about the importance of the caucus, why there’s such a flurry of activity around the “preferences” of Iowa voters, and why we put so much weight on tonight’s outcome.

He says it’s in part because the media (guilty as charged) puts so much emphasis on what these Iowa voters say.

If one candidate comes out clearly winning in Iowa, they’ll have an easier time generating momentum and support on a national scale. On the other hand, Professor Kunkel tells me candidates who lose tonight may even drop out of the race, fearing they won’t have the clout or credibility to raise money and support across the country.

But, a win in Iowa doesn’t ensure the party’s nomination. Bob Dole won the caucus in 1988 and didn’t win the party’s nomination.

At the same time, a candidate doesn’t have to win the caucus to get the nomination. George H.W. Bush and Bill Clinton both finished third in Iowa… and ended up in the White House.

So, here’s how it works. This is not a go-into-your-voting-box and privately cast your vote kind of thing. In the Iowa caucuses: you “vote with your feet.” The caucuses have voters raising their hands, standing up, walking across rooms, and on the Democratic side: debating for the candidate they believe in.

On the Republican side, the process is pretty straightforward. Presidential preference is figured using a straw poll of those attending the caucus. The vote is done by a show of hands, by dividing into groups according to candidate or by writing the candidate’s name on a piece of paper. After all the votes are tallied, Republicans use a winner-take-all system. The winner gets all the state’s delegates at the National Convention.

The Democratic side isn’t quite as easy. In this system, participants break into groups based on their preference. For example, supporters of Hillary Clinton go to one corner; supporters of Bill Richardson go to another, Chris Dodd to another, and so on.

But, if a candidate fails to reach the “viability” threshold—fifteen percent of the vote—he or she is eliminated. At that point, supporters of that candidate can do one of two things: go home, or fall in with another candidate. Voters generally choose to hop on a different bandwagon, which is why debate and persuasion are a huge part of the process.

The Democrats don’t use a winner-take-all system with their delegates; delegates’ votes at the National Convention are divided proportionally to the way caucus goers cast their votes.

So, that’s a quick look at the Iowa Caucus.

Before I go, a quick look at where things stand as I’m writing this: on the Democratic side, Hillary Clinton, John Edwards and Barack Obama are locked up at the top. And, Mitt Romney and Mike Huckabee are dueling for the top spot on the Republican side.

If you still have questions, drop me a line! I’ll do my best to answer them!

If you’re an Iowa voter and you’re looking for your voting site, I’ve got some links for you.

Republican Caucus Finder


Democratic Caucus Finder

And, this is just the start of it all. The New Hampshire primary takes place January 8^th… and in a few entries… I’ll get into the difference between the caucus and the primary… and again, why we should care. 

At the polls,

Rosemary